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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    My concern is also precip type if the mid levels don't get going. But I would be careful with this clown maps. I agree elevation helps.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you were allowed to post anymore today, you could explain why you are so woefully misguided.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    It did not. The mid levels are what matter and that favors NOP.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have news for you...models do not print out physically implausible solutions. Don't waste any more of your 5 disputing this fact, dude.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its day 10, but not like this is one of those weekly product charts cooked up in George's basement meth-lab....this is on the radar, folks.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    That reminds me of 4/1/1997.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perfectly stated. Same thing goes for last week, despite the synoptic failure.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    @CoastalWxWIll be offering clinics on nuanced thinking...perhaps a few guest speaking engagements, as well.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, if anything even remotely resembling the 12z GFS ever did verify, then you probably wouldn't mind the 5PPD restriction nearly as much for about a month or 3.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sounds dishonest.....In-laws or snow....in-laws or snow....Hmmmmmm
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same page...I'm suprisingly confident in my forecast for most of the area despite the inconsistency amongst guidance. I understand adjustments are needed south...sure.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    If the mid levels get going, then I will be fine...if they don't, then I won't.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your last video update was quite bizarre.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Confluence sheared it.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly trust the NAM here more than the RGEM. I get that there is confluence, but its also a southern stream system....how the RGEM manages to cut the precip at KLWM, yet still have it warm enough for rain across most of the region is beyond me. I know this isn't a SWFE, but I still generally trust the NAM to sniff out warm layers. Now, if you want to tell me the QPF is overdone by a third on the NAM, sure...okay.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    NAM
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly don't care at this point...just wait and see what happens.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would be more concerned seeing that as a slot within the main QPF field....that just looks like we're on the N edge of the QPF shield, which is where you usually want to be.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I like my spot based on the mid levels.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jan 2015.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously...I did that to cover my ass on the se wobbles yeterday, but always felt it was coming north.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd be more concerned if the NAM were that warm.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks odd...doesn't seem like the Maine dry drain... Some of the EPS memebers were doing that yesterday.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm always a candidate for those. Post it.
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