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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Probably tied into the W PAC warmth.....I would guess that there is a correlaion.
  2. This is what I was unclear on....I was looking for a way to distinguish on wxbell, but couldn't find it.
  3. If its a decent sized event, either I will get the day off, or be able to rationalize taking it off....but these last couple of week day events are brutal.
  4. Yea, gotta agree with you here. Its the smart play and there is value in being right....that said, I would still aim to provide metoeorological rationale that extends beyond the background signal of the multidecadal warming trend.
  5. This was one of my main points in my last long range update...that said, if it were to stall, I would expect it to be in phase 6 per El Nino orientation.
  6. I won't be stunned it ends up marginally above normal...it won't be a torch like December and probaby cooler than January.
  7. Today was bad....just awful traffic. I would have paid good money to have that 1" of snow be a CJ or fall as rain.
  8. Honestly, if its 3-4" on a Monday AM, I would rather miss it....give it to the SOP crew. No sarcasm at all....I just had a 2 hour commute for literally 1" of snow. Not worth it.
  9. I would ignore it for now...seem to be gaining a consensus among ensemble means.....12z was the high end of the envelop, this weak...OPs will OP.
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