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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not missing anything.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    2014, 1968, 1957, 1965, to name several....
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I equal January output from February, I am above average. I would need like 5" in March to finish climo. I get what he means, though....no one likes punting the holiday season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, if we scored big in February, then the season would be fine from a statistical standpoint...I understand you like to get snowfall early during solar nadir. That said, I am dissapionted February is a punt through mid month.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get that, but you can say that about seasonal forecasting in general.....part of the appeal to me is recognizing themes and tendency within analog seasons, so I give him credit.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    He illustrated how the NE has a curious snow hole during -PDO El Niño seasons....not even necessarily due to huge warm departures....just a screw hole, of sorts....like 1973.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pacific certainly isn't helping....it's a bit of both... bad luck and a bad PAC.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That said, yes...the Pacific is more important.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    As much eye rolling as this will elicit right now, I still don't totally buy that.....some of this is just plain bad luck after decades of snowing at least excuse imaginable. Shit like not garnering enough separation between PV lobes has and will always happen in any type of regime.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very frustrating. I give Raindance credit...he nailed that. And no, I didn't copy him.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is a blockier version of 1973. The past two seasons I have bet against an awful result due to the anticipation of high latitude blocking....but it just hasn't mattered. Its sucked, anway, despite nailing the blocking.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last time I bet against the positive snow depth change maps in a light, marginal event. I was wrong.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Was a pretty nice month....27.5" for January and the season.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    2.5"
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Had an inch as of midnight.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Getting into the slot now...best goods will be north of me IMO.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doubt that....my hope if for 4".
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not saying 19", but you were whining about radar that night, too...so that is another similarity.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I remember folks were saying the same thing the night of 1/7...just saying...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Certainly it's not close the shades in a technical sense, but I will strongly bet against a major event through at least 2/10.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, you never really know....part of the fun of it.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't felt this hopeless in a long time...I feel like this winter has one more swing at producing in a big way. I can't remember a pattern so exotic that was so unlikely to pay dividends.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The way this season is going it will result in a PD I redux.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it was February 1999.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think I saw anyone not feeling as though December was an absolute torch.
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