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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Mid levels would croak from like Dendrite into the White Mtns.
  2. That looks like something out of latter December 2002/early January 2003.
  3. Yea, I don't see anything imminent for my area that is worth getting excited over.
  4. Sounds about right...any semblance of winter is always eradicated before the holiday.
  5. Be sure not to clear the puddles from the board any more frequently than 6 hour intervals.
  6. If you want to convince me to take 2018 over 2021, I could probably buy it...but not even close on 2017 for me....hands down superior winter, I couldn't care less about February skewing the season warm. I would also take 2019 over 2018 because I got the one big dog in December 2019. I would rather one big dog in a sea of warmth then a slew of 2-3" front enders with cold that rushes into freeze the puddles.
  7. Not really...I see why it came off like that. I came into the winter least confident in my handling of the EPO, which you validated by pointing out a few days ago that its a bit of a tall task to have a disconnect like that from a -WPO. I was just saying that if this pattern were to persist in the seasonal mean, then I would bust a bit too warm and not snowy enough. Just a hypothetical....I also followed it up by stating that I still think December ends up warm.
  8. I still think I'm fine even with a cold first week of December because the warmth period mid month will overshadow the cold...the key will be how long the warmth persists.
  9. If it does continue, then my December forecast is cooked every bit as much as the past couple of winters.
  10. I have always maintained that the globe will ultimately find a means of achieving some semblance of balance.
  11. Other guidance has simply closed the gap, which is causing some overreactions.
  12. I miss that kind of cold.....as much as it would elicit a quite a bout of murmured cursing at 44yo, I do miss it.
  13. I'm concerned about the EPO...if we get a -EPO to consistently link up with the -WPO, which is high confidence for me, in the seasonal mean, then I am going to bust a bit too warm and defenitely not snowy enough. I forecasted a bit of a disconnect there in that lower heights will periodically infiltrate at least the eastern portion of AK.
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