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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am not opposed to late season blocking, a la 2023.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    1966-1967 was an interesting cool ENSO year in that snowfall behaved more like an El Nino locally....very, very backloaded with a big Feb-March. December has seasonable snowfall and January had hardly anything...one of the worst on record. The Farmer's Alamanac sounds alot like raindance described with the warmer and very active storm track description.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    What do you think of the CANSIP? Probably would need a mismatich month to score this...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I mentioned that your index calculating was trending upward. Obviously its going to average positive for the winter....just a matter of whether or not we still a negative month.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like the CANSIPS. I would take that and run.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you need to wait about another month to know.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you underestimate how much a single storm can raise the value.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    You probably aren't getting 140" again, either way lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, this would feel like 1976-1977 after the past 10 years.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not what I said....."flipping" implies that the +AMO period has peaked and is beginning to reverse. Once you have your mind made up, I think it distorts your interpretation of what people are trying to say. Its something everyone needs to be mindful of.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I def. see some pathways to redemption for the NE...admittedly a taller task for the Mid Atl, unless they hit the synoptic powerball with a big dog.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one in their right mind is going to argue that it looks good on paper.....I'm just saying to keep an open mind. Raindance was also speculating that the AMO maybe flipping, so be careful about assuming that "++AMO"..... One you make up your mind, focus on ways things can "go wrong"....
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    The only ugly month I see on the CANSIPS is January....reloads for Feb and March after a nice December. But even January doesn't lose the Poleward SAleutian ridging, so while shitty in the mean, I bet that is still a nice week mixed in there.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I think that CANSIPS weenie image would get the gradient a bit further south than 2007...
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotta be honest....I like this.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think there is any question it finishes above normal...just a matter of whether it makes a run at 200 or not...
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You really need to change your name from Bluewave to Dreamcrusher lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Love the full transparency.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Part of me thinks everyone is going to call for a rinse & repeat outlook of the past few years, only to miss something and it ends up decent.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I saw that....nice.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would love to deal with that.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    PDO should start to flip late this decade.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cosgrove has started touting 2007-2008.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    During severe season, LBABSNE
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