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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Nobody should apologize to me for anything. I missed the mark...again.
  2. I wonder why the west PAC warm pool only prohibits entry into phase 8-1 during the cold season....perhaps as the relatively cooler ambient waters begin to warm (cool in the fall) it loses (gains) pervasiveness throught the Hemisphere?
  3. I think the changes they have made recently are a good start.
  4. Yea, my early thoughts are healthy Modoki La Nina and -PDO.
  5. This season would have sucked regardless of ENSO....it wasn't El Nino that pinned the forcing in the MC.
  6. Well, everyone is by default....it won't get any worse.
  7. Maybe tomorrow night; she is pretty strict right now with timing things according to her ovulation cycle
  8. I love a good spring snower, but I this was never tantalizing enough for me to muster an once of engagement considering how emotionally drained these last two seasons have left me. I haven't posted a blog since the late Feb March preview...earliest check out in the 10 years I have been doing this....just absolutely convinced it was over and this shit was not worth another ounce of my energy.
  9. You'd better hope not, or you guys will join the flood watch-
  10. I was thinking to myself while taking the trash out late last night how I couldn't believe it was going to rain tomorrow night....the cold had a bite to it amid that "fresh" arctic aroma. Sucks.
  11. They will probably get like 7-8" IMO....nothing extraordinary.
  12. Need to have a look at the +PDO Modoki La Nina seasons....assuming a fairly robust Modoki La Nina, that seems to supercede everything else and produce a pretty crap winter for the east.....if it remains weaker, then different ballgame. Again, need to look, but I'm not sure we have had a strong Modoki La Nina with a +PDO.....
  13. My sister lives in Claremont....right near the VT border.
  14. Yea, I really, really don't care. Back to baseball-
  15. Man, that difference between the GFS and EURO is maddening for some folks up north..wow.
  16. This is actually a huge event up north...but glad I never got roped in.
  17. Was there ever a wagon? I didn't see one-
  18. Yea, never say never, but we have yet to do particularly well in an appreciably strong Modoki La Nina. Hopefully it ends up weak and/or more east-based, which is certaily possible at this lead time. Gun-to-head right now, I would guess 40-50" for my spot....which is still better than the past two seasons.
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