40/70 Benchmark

I agree...I think December is colder than January.

Agree. I think RNA December, but January is the one +PNA month of the winter.

Interesting take...I think that coincided with the nadir of the cold phase, too....starting to turn the corner a bit.

I remember that...it was all over the news...I was in HS.

The PNA ridge got replaced with a deep trough...that will do it-

So is death, are you waiting for it with baited breath?

Good luck down there this year, guys. I know many of @bluewave and @TheClimateChanger's posts are grating to read for a winter enthusiast, but the truth is that I think my work is much better for trying to make a more concerted effort to incorporate CC into the forecasts because there is no question it's having an impact. That doesn't mean you have to agree with 100% of their takes; I certainly don't, but tolerance for different viewpoints is the most powerful tool in anyone's arsenal.

Topped at out 37 here.

Thanks. I don't give regional specifics for your area, but you can deduce my thoughts based on the composites and such. In case you couldn't, "get nude" about somes it up-

Pretty clear it was over much more than Nov 11th. Agree that at least the first half of December looks good, but lets see it produce. There have been several "giddy up" patterns over the course of the past several years that just dissapointed.

Drought is inherently boring

Since March 2018, there have been 3 events that I was honest to goodness thrilled with, enjoyed and wasn't dissapointed. 12/2019 snow event, 2/1/2021 and 1/7/2024.

On a scale of 1-10, with 10 being winter in SNE, how safe do you feel?

I had zilch-zero, ma nature being singy with dinero.

You mean spending an inordinate amount of time of an internet forum investing emotionlly into something of which you have no control, while commismerating with other similarly ill-minded individuals isn't on the list? $hit, I'm in the wrong field.