40/70 Benchmark

Not true at all.

Pretty much anything abeam of the NH/MA border and points up into the GOM is what is relevant for me. If I am getting SE winds off of Mass Bay, then it's not my storm, anyway.

I'm sure the increased gradient will save us since storms can't phase any more.

I must have looked at incorrect info then. Have to imagine they're down at least another degree after this weekend.

Looks like SSTs are around 35-36 BEFORE this weekend....man, please get a juicy hugger in here to lather me up with deep layer east fetch.

Nice. I had -1 to -1.2 as the forecast peak RONI range.

GFS has one decent warning even next Thursday night NOP, followed by a slightly larger region-wide deal over the weekend. Still willing to take the under on that period as a whole....06z GFS is probably a reasonable ceiling.

Ha..I see by the post count Euro didn't offer up an encore to 12z.

I'm putting more weight in the day 10-11 range than I am AI guidance.

Was that 33.2" on the level at rhe end, or 6 hourly measurements?

Yea, I need more....still considered pipe dream for me.

"Likes" is a strong word...looks pretty irrelevant.

Well, in the grand scheme of things, as much as you may not like it...a moderation to somewhat above average climo temps is a much more higher probability, and less anomalous outcome than a blizzard...which is why one is laughed at, and one isn't, regardless of skepticism being warranted. I mean...if someone makes up a story about you having blown Donald Trump, and one about you having gotten a speeding ticket...which will be met with less skepticism?

Yea, unremarkable.

Been ignoring.