40/70 Benchmark

Well, in the grand scheme of things, as much as you may not like it...a moderation to somewhat above average climo temps is a much more higher probability, and less anomalous outcome than a blizzard...which is why one is laughed at, and one isn't, regardless of skepticism being warranted. I mean...if someone makes up a story about you having blown Donald Trump, and one about you having gotten a speeding ticket...which will be met with less skepticism?

Yea, unremarkable.

Been ignoring.

Could also be a case where it's a bit later, too.

Yea-pump that east wind

Oh, no.... That's the run we chase for 10 days only to never find again.

I haven't seen anyone predicting a +PNA for February, but if so, I would agree that they are woefully misguided.

I was thinking the same thing yesterday driving home...I'm like, I wish tonight's cloud deck had moved in middayish

EURO

Looks like a huge Norlun centered on CT over 1000'.

Erection slowly activated....

Yea, I mean I'm not saying it can't whiff, either...it's just fraught with uncertainty, which is why I'm reluctant to bite into it. Made that mistake last week. I can just ignore if I don't introduce and it goes away.

Yea, I know...I was more referencing John's comment. Maybe he's right, but I would just be careful about expecting the same N Pac setup to have that exact, same result later in the season, as far as stifling storminess.

Frankly, the WPO isn't that important in March due to wave lengths shortening, so can't even be sure that would have the same stifling impact that it did earlier in the season.

Not necessarily fooled AFAIC, but to me, that is close enough at several months lead.