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Both AI systems have the HP weakening and sliding off to the east way before the non AI mods...a low will attack the western side of the Apps in that situation
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Euro runs so slow at night
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Ok, 111, expansive area of precip blossoming over Tx and the rockies
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We need this one, love what the AI’s are spitting out and their consistency. They’ve performed quite well lately, so to see where they sit at this juncture can’t be bad. Like seeing the UKMET join them. I’d argue that model does really well at these leads at showing a solution that is close to actual sometimes…before it bounces around like a pinball machine.
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Seeing some slight changes at h5...up top the s/w is a bit more elongated toward the west, slightly higher ridging out west
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It’s an adult model
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Classic signal for a significant to major east coast snowfall.
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Baja low a tik east
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Yeah I don’t see .
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Ginx snewx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
4 new 5.5 storm moderate 31⁰ -
The AI was just about a carbon copy of 18z and 12z. Massive ice storm Plateau and west with finally a little frozen reaching the mountains after a stubborn warm nose sits over that way.
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Remarkably consistent so far...just noise level differences...
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Euro AI showing even more CAD than the PD2 somehow. Wedge extends all the way down to west GA.
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Euro AI is almost a top 10 snowfall for IAD, DCA, and BWI. Incredible.
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Looking at the temps on the AIFS, looks like a lot of ice for west/mid TN and East TN gets warm nosed with temps in the mid-30s.
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Carbon copy of 18z almost
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Trends are not our friend. Cold rain or freezing rain. Sigh
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So far, it's early. Euro is almost exactly the same 66 hours. This is precip/surface map only. H5 lags significantly for some reason on sv. will peep that baja wave in a sec
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
WintryMixmaster replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Two 1030+ highs to the north of us and it just cuts right between them... seems strange that it's so much more amplified than previous runs, and the only model showing that, but somehow a cutter wouldn't surprise me -
Euro AI also shows more of a cutter but strong CAD so lots of ice.. some of the models have trended towards dumping more cold in the west/midwest. That would not be ideal
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
WxWatcher007 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Not sure if it’ll accumulate much unless it hangs on a bit but it’s snowing nicely here again. -
Follows the UKIE like John said it would it seems. .
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