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83 with a dewpoint of 46 here right now. Perfect weather this weekend. Nice that we can squeeze in a couple beautiful days here this weekend before the long heat wave. I hope everyone celebrating has a great Father's Day tomorrow.
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https://x.com/tollandkev/status/1802075508672225292?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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If it hits 600dm at 500mb within 250 miles of us we are going over 100 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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It’s catching on
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If it were me doing the real forecast right now, I would not predict anything over 95 through Thursday (LSV) knowing some back yard therms will break it but the overall area temp averaged out.
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I'll go out on a limit say that Harrisburg international airport it's 100 next week and capital city hits 102 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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Up here we have bone dry and probably down where you are which is going to add a few degrees to all these forecasts with the GFS Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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It is on me.
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The GFS is still hot, it is just not 95-100 hot except next Sat. The CMC has not really been across the board either though it is a touch warmer at 12Z and has several days over 95 now. The Euro is the only model that has consistently backed the predicts of record-breaking temps. Check this out.
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Unless we get one of these overnight MCVs that tend to happen without warning Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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It's going to be on us. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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Voice to text works in mysterious ways Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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Central Pa. Summer 2024
Itstrainingtime replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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“Hot and human” temperatures. So you’re forecasting a high of 98.6?
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Central Pa. Summer 2024
Itstrainingtime replied to mahantango#1's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Cover up the brocc!
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Usually it is just one overnight convection mass within a week of hell hot and human temperatures. She's always happen in the wee hours of the morning and the thunder is beyond amazing That's why I love it Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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I'm spending 6 days hiking in the White Mountains starting Tuesday. The further south this goes the better. I don't wanna die from heat stroke.
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If the GFS wins this wee and the national weather service ends up with egg on their face it's going to cause an issue where no one's going to believe anything from the national weather service for many many years so Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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When it really comes down to it, I agree. It would be foolish to expect temps to be maxed out during a heat wave without any convection or clouds to gum up the works, which it seems the models have picked up on, even if NWS is a little hesitant to buy into.
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It was the leader (from what I saw) in flagging the heat wave this past week as being false. It was too low today though. It was 82-83 when I left Dillsburg which is 3-4 higher than the gfs had it for today. Of course using the gfs for temps 24 hours out is not the best plan.
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I love you analogy. It wouldn't shock me at all to have a major storm like 5:00 a.m. one of these days cuz that's usually what happens withthese heat domes. At least in the past. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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This weather is remarkable.