All Activity

You have to look at specific periods like the near the peak of the season. The active period was early and late, but tropical activity was nonexistent at the time it was supposed to be busiest. We had a complete shut out of all rainfall here in October. We had the same Saharan Air Layer / dry air intrusion into the tropics, and it's only become even more extreme this year. All the forecasts for a historically busy season completely busted and we ended up with an average season.

Torch!!!!!

Investments that would dramatically increase renewables beyond leaving things mainly to the private sector would yield large increases in supply. The cost argument isn't a strong defense. It exists only because the kind of approach to infrastructure that took place in building the nation's highways was not pursued.

Dipped down to 53.5 this morning. Took the kids for a walk and it felt amazing. Great day for watching football with a bunch of big games this afternoon

Where in the world are you getting “lackluster or nonexistent tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic” from the 2024 season? It was above average on every metric and featured some of the worst hurricane impacts we have ever seen. There were 5 MDR hurricanes and the Gulf was active as well. Sorry, I will not agree with you on this.

How do you forecast PNA and NAO so far ahead? Are you just running on analogs?

53 was the low. Should get into the upper 80s today.

Not at all

42F The beat goes on for top-10 days.

What does copium mean? Copium is a slang term for denial or rationalization in the face of defeat or failure. It is presented as a metaphorical drug people take when dealing with losing a game or otherwise being disappointed

I've been talking about this return to an AMO- since last year lol. Both hotter extremes and colder extremes and drier weather-- I LIKE!! Are you switching around to my view that we are now headed directly into an -AMO even if it doesn't show it on indices? Two years in a row with drier summers and falls and lackluster or nonexistent tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic. I think we might be headed to another dry and coldish winter, just like last winter too.

You worried

Ya not even Close the calls for a hot humid August and September are a fail.. I could give a crap if we get to 80 in September its still nice..we meh

Both hotter extremes and colder extremes and drier weather-- I LIKE!! Are you switching around to my view that we are now headed directly into an -AMO even if it doesn't show it on indices? Two years in a row with drier summers and falls and lackluster or nonexistent tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic. I think we might be headed to another dry and coldish winter, just like last winter too.

Kids fest at WaWa next weekend?

Both hotter extremes and colder extremes and drier weather-- I LIKE!! Are you switching around to my view that we are now headed directly into an -AMO even if it doesn't show it on indices? Two years in a row with drier summers and falls and lackluster or nonexistent tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic. I think we might be headed to another dry and coldish winter, just like last winter too.

The 1922 136° temperature at El Azizia was decertified by the WMO in 2012. The WMO found "five major concerns with the 1922 El Azizia temperature extreme record, specifically 1) potentially problematical instrumentation, 2) a probable new and inexperienced observer at the time of observation, 3) unrepresentative microclimate of the observation site, 4) poor correspondence of the extreme to other locations, and 5) poor comparison to subsequent temperature values recorded at the site." https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/94/2/bams-d-12-00093.1.xml

The arguments I see politicians making is we need an all energy source approach to control costs because most people are concerned about energy costs above all else. I saw this being mentioned in the NJ gubernatorial race. To be honest, Mikie Sherill is a very poor gubernatorial candidate and if this is the best the democrats can do, no wonder they have such low approval ratings. If I have to hear *navy helicopter pilot* one more time, I'm going to destroy my TV, she might as well be a network traffic helicopter pilot for all I care and for all it has anything to do with running a state.

Might be so violent that Ineedsnow breaks down and cries?

A bit. I think the month will finish a bit AN. I thought it would already have been trending up but still a bunch of BN days so far.

Torch cometh

Those will violently come up.

The current SSTs in the WPAC match several other years that went on to see +WPO winters

BOS is -2.3F MTD ORH is -1.7F I thought those departures would start trending warmer oops We fall

Yep. Laughs at averages dropping. Where’s Fall?