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It was kinda localized, my area and other areas of Suffolk (from what I remember) we thought a tornado was hitting and we went to the basement. Came upstairs after and trees were down and debris was everywhere. I had to run the generator for a few days. easily over 80mph winds imby

wow what happened? incidentally this is also the anniversary of Hurricane Andrew making landfall in south Florida

Yep, the heavy rain in my forecast may end up a few drops. Again. Meanwhile Colorado Springs is getting dumped on. Again.

Have to get away from the light pollution for the Milky Way. Tonight will probably be the best night for stargazing of the entire month though.

cold falls suck, last year's fall was ideal.

But because of the omission of PD2, it doesn't work out to 5 years, especially with many of the other storms you listed being far inferior to PD2. In my own experience we get HECS once every 10 years. My definition of HECS: 20 inch snowstorm at either NYC or JFK.

Temps dropping pretty quick this evening. Already down to 69 degrees.

……,….. as always…………

it's possible, although the tendency seems to be for the heat to dump in the West. With our bad luck, this means we'll get a mild winter when the pattern reverses lol

Don I was thinking this is a lot like a summer leading into an el nino, recall 1994 when we had extreme heat in June too, July was also quite hot, and it got cooler by August. 2002, another el nino lead up, had quite a different summer.... Don, was 2013-14 also an el nino winter? That was the last time JFK had their final 90 degree day in July (ironic because that was such a hot summer up until then with a long heatwave and our last 100 degree high prior to this June.)

it's also close to a new moon which is adding to the high tides

you were so close to number 1 though your area really does not get many 90 degree days, I consider 15 to be about average for here.

6am to 8am

as long as I don't have to turn on my heat, it's fine. If it's not cold enough to snow, cold falls are absolutely useless.

Airmass has cooled and stabilized north of the Palmer Divide. So convective possibility has disappeared. Swing and a miss for strike one. Need something to generate lift, or upslope, or something.

That was my favorite October-Mid November period of all time. Saved a ton on heating.

My lawn is still quite green, mostly because the weeds are so happy. Relatively cool and cloudy month has helped mitigate the limited rain this month.

These are the bluest skies I have seen in a long time. I would love to see this kind of sky more often instead of the hazy crap we usually get.

How come the Pacific Northwest has been seeing most of the extreme heat the last few summers, Don? I feel like they are having what we had between 2010-2013?

wow from 2014 to 2019 every year had the last 90 degree day in September or even later (October in 2019). In 2013 we didn't have any after 7/20 which is interesting since that was such a hot summer with a long heatwave in July to boot! That was our last 100 degree day before this June. If JFK does not see any more 90 degree days would this be a match for 2013 since there have been no 90 degree days this year in August at the airport either? The last 90 degree day is going to be in July-- which has to be rare? When is the average last 90 degree day?

you can be a snow and cold enthusiast and also enjoy hot summers. I don't understand why ANYONE likes rain in the summer, even farmers I have talked to on Long Island prefer hot and dry summers.

_________Table of forecasts (over and above current 5 1 1) ______________ FORECASTER (order of entry) ______________ TS _ H _ M matty40s (NW-3) ___________________________17 _ 10 _ 5 Metwatch (NW-1, 13) _______________________ 16 __ 9 _ 3 Roger Smith (27) ___________________________ 15 _ 10 _ 2 CHSVol (13) ________________________________ 15 __ 9 _ 3 The Tall Weatherman (NW-5) ______________ 15 __ 8 _ 4 NeffsvilleWx (10) ____________________________14 __ 7 _ 4 marsman (14) _______________________________14 __ 4 _ 2 ldub23 (5) __________________________________ 13 __ 9 _ 4 Rhino16 (24) ________________________________ 13 __ 9 _ 3 Midlands Ice Age (NW-2, 14) ________________13 __ 9 _ 2 hudsonvalley21 (34) ________________________ 13 __ 8 _ 4 Yanksfan (8) ________________________________ 13 __ 8 _ 3 nvck (32) ___________________________________ 13 __ 8 _ 3 WYorksWeather (NW-4) ____________________ 12 __11 _ 5 Tallis Rockwell (18) __________________________ 12 _ 10 _ 4 Torch Tiger (17) _____________________________ 12 __ 8 _ 3 yoda (22) ____________________________________12 __ 8 _ 3 ___ consensus _______________________________12 __ 8 _ 3 (median) Normandy Ho (30) __________________________ 12 __ 7 _ 4 BarryStantonGBP (1) ________________________ 12 __ 7 _ 3 wxallannj (21) ________________________________12 __ 7 _ 3 jmearroz (31) ________________________________ 12 __ 7 _ 3 George BM (35) _____________________________ 12 __ 7 _ 3 Kaari (NW-7) ________________________________ 12 __ 7 _ 3 cnimbus (6) _________________________________ 12 __ 6 _ 3 FPizz (9) ____________________________________ 12 __ 6 _ 3 wxdude64 (28) ______________________________12 __ 6 _ 2 jconsor (3) __________________________________ 11 __ 8 _ 4 BKViking (29) _______________________________ 11 __ 8 _ 3 ___ UKMO ___________________________________ 11 __ 8 _ 3 LakeNormanStormin (7) _____________________ 11 __ 7 _ 3 Floydbster (12) ______________________________ 11 __ 7 _ 3 WxWatcher007 (25) ________________________ 11 __ 7 _ 3 ___ NOAA ___________________________________ 11 __ 7 _ 3 Newman (15) ________________________________ 11 __ 6 _ 2 vpbob21 (19) _________________________________10 __ 6 _ 3 ineedsnow (2) _______________________________ 10 __ 6 _ 2 cardinalland (14) _____________________________10 __ 5 _ 2 NC USGS^ (33) _______________________________ 9 __ 9 _ 1 Ga Wx (20) ___________________________________ 9 __ 8 _ 2 LongBeachSurfFreak (4) _____________________ 9 __ 7 _ 3 Retrobuc (11) _________________________________ 9 __ 5 _ 2 StormchaserChuck (23) ______________________ 8 __ 6 _ 3 Kirkcaldy Weather (NW-6) ____________________ 7 __ 8 _ 3 Hotair (26) ____________________________________ 6 __ 3 _ 1 ================= mean (excl expert fcsts) is 11.8 __ 7.3 _ 3.0 ^ ... NC US Geological Survice is full user i.d. For NW entries, an equivalent order of entry to Am-Wx entries is provided for first and second entries The above represents the count you now require to complete your forecasts.

Those areas are warming much faster than we are (in the summer anyway.) Is there a reason why summers are much hotter there than they are here, Don?

But heat increase is measured by rising temperatures, not dew points.

You were just at the beach