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The new EURO run is off the charts. All time record-breaking in regions 1+2, 3 and 3.4 and by a lot. This is the projected traditional ONI for each region next month, keep in mind that the El Niño will still be strengthening at this point. It has the final peak happening in December My guess is that the ONI/RONI peaks in December. Peaks: ONI: 4.1C - +4.2C RONI: +3.5C - +3.6C

Hit with the double whammy this past week cold/flu now a stomach bug of some sort. Yesterday was beautiful sat outside for a bit.

Definitely will see tons of volatility but that doesn't mean snow either. We could have powerful, wet systems though if any arctic air gets involved then maybe.

Today maybe the first midnight high of the season?

US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·o͏t͏o͏n͏e͏p͏S͏r͏s͏d͏u͏4͏g͏4͏g͏1͏i͏6͏5͏2͏m͏5͏0͏3͏1͏1͏f͏5͏c͏a͏i͏m͏m͏7͏2͏g͏2͏2͏1͏l͏l͏4͏4͏2͏5͏4͏g͏l͏a͏5͏l͏7͏l͏0͏1͏l͏c͏a͏m͏t͏ · 10/15/2026 5 AM: A cold front will drop across PA on Friday (Oct 16th), making thunderstorms as it does so. Some may make damaging winds. A tornado is not out of the question. The strongest storms will likely be right along the front as it passes

Toss

Time to watch for a tropical disturbance next week ?

DT and JB are honking

And we can add the 0Z Euro, too, with a full-blown very intense storm (12Z Euro also had it)!

check out the 0z Euro!! We take!!!

I don't hear it here. Usually we have pretty heavy helicopter traffic most nights.

It’s also on the 0Z UKMET, the 3rd run in a row with this one a little stronger with a min of 1003 mb/max of 52 knots/60 mph. It forms off of S SC and then moves N into NC OB area followed by a move E offshore and then a S drift as it weakens: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 32.4N 76.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.10.2026 72 32.4N 76.0W 1010 42 1200UTC 18.10.2026 84 34.0N 75.1W 1008 48 0000UTC 19.10.2026 96 32.5N 75.9W 1003 52 1200UTC 19.10.2026 108 34.2N 75.2W 1005 45 0000UTC 20.10.2026 120 36.2N 75.6W 1004 40 1200UTC 20.10.2026 132 36.6N 74.7W 1006 35 0000UTC 21.10.2026 144 36.4N 73.1W 1007 33 1200UTC 21.10.2026 156 35.0N 72.7W 1009 34 0000UTC 22.10.2026 168 32.7N 73.4W 1012 35

Only tied the record today. Pretty confident tomorrow will be record breaking. Friday? Possibly. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 0527 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2026 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT ATLANTA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 87 DEGREES WAS TIED AT ATLANTA TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 87 DEGREES SET IN 1940.

I’m assuming this is tropical on the 0Z Icon: holy cow!

It actually gives us three separate snow storms that run starting October 25th.

Had a nice late sunset with a moon over the South Lawn tonight.