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  2. NEG NAO
    trend is our friend still plenty of time - we have seen this happen before
  3. Franklin0529
    Lmao
  4. Rjay
    Tony's snow map
  5. jm1220
  6. MJO812
    Euro bumped north. Lets get more bumps.
  7. Rjay
    Metsfan says it's coming
  8. SnoSki14
    Not as good as 12z but better than 18z. Mostly steady and consistent though
  9. NEG NAO
    lets first get the precip this far north than worry about precip types IMO more amped means more dynamics and upward motion in the atmosphere creating its own cold enough air (dynamic cooling) thats why it shows so much snow further south
  10. Rjay
    Been away all day. Have at it.
  11. NEG NAO
    plus consider the several inches thick Ice Glacier still cemented to the ground
  12. RU848789
    Could be, as currently modeled, although there will also be a rain/snow line somewhere south 195 and if this amps too much that line could move into CNJ.
  13. MJO812
    AI euro improved
  14. MJO812
    Its February. Whats up with this too warm to stick nonsense?
  15. RU848789
    Wrong. If snow can stick at 34F in April with heavy rates at midday, it can stick with moderate rates at 34F at night.
  16. NEG NAO
    this looks like a Central/South Jersey Special from Union County/Somerset etc. and points south of I-78
  17. Franklin0529
    It's supposed to be at night. An too warm to stick? Have you not been outside lately an seen the 8" of glacier everywhere lol
  18. Itstrainingtime
    Please understand, I wasn't being critical of you in any way. I don't do that. It was just ironic that the GFS jumped on to something it largely wanted no part of even when the Euro did.
  19. TriPol
    IF this comes back north, and that's a big if, it's going to be too warm for anything to stick.
  20. Cobalt
    Gigantic + anomalies over Western North America/Greenland all for a paltry cool anomaly the size of Texas right over us. Woof.
  21. TriPol
    WeatherGeek came back and now we're getting a blizzard.
  22. MJO812
    Defintely
  23. RU848789
    Almost all of the AI models (AIFS, AIGFS, Weathernext) support at least a 2-4" event area-wide, so while the GFS may be on steroids (like the GRAF), this support plus the fact that almost every other model not from Canadia now shows a 1-2/1-3" kind of event (NAM3km, NAM, ICON, UK at least) tells me that a 1-3" event is now a reasonable guesstimate with 3-6" on the table and <1" still on the table too. A miss/scrape is a bad call right now.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it may be dicier down there, but I'm not paying much attention to that area.
  25. LordBaltimore
    Down to 19 here. Wasn't expecting it to radiate like this before the torch tomorrow. nice surprise
  26. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, tell your boy, not me.
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