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I won’t be surprised. Looks like ass.

I wouldn't give up hope on a nice stretch, but odds of hitting climo snowfall this season in my area are on life support...unimaginable 8th consecutive season.

When a hobby begins to impact someone's physical and mental health that is when it ceases to be a hobby. Some people here have allowed a hobby to morph into an obsession...and that isn't a good thing The vast majority of people here would be better off studying the stock market and/or having a side gig rather than staring at model output day after day...

Can you post? I know it’s a clown map but again, that’s when I’m going skiing so.. maybe I can needlessly hype up the crew lol.

Dare I say, close the shades for our “favorable period”…

What’s happening around the 22nd to 25th? Going skiing for the first time in 10+ years with some friends for the weekend, it would be awesome if we got some snow (it’s just Wisp lol, so deep creek md area.) I keep seeing some stuff popping up in the long-range for that period. More than half of my ski trips (only every 4ish years before this time) had some big snows those weekends. How’s that for an analog?

Props. You never bit

Ray knew-

The 6z Euro has removed the 0z run Gulf event - weird run...plausible, but out of nowhere it came and back to nowhere it went.. It probably serves as a reminder that large scale, last minute changes are still possible as we get better NA data of those vortices(when they approach and make NA landfall). Looks like two minor events this week w/ "potentially" the coldest air of the season arriving the 19th-20th. Then we (maybe?) roll a ridge through, and the potential is there for another deepening of the eastern trough beginning sometime around or shortly after the 25th. I think we see a big dog before this winter is over....provided the cold air incursions continue. The tough thing w/ an EPO ridge patterns is that sometimes the ridge gets too tall like it did in 17-18(think that is the right year), gets very cold, but precip has trouble getting into the pattern. Ultimately, I think the main snow culprit is ongoing drought which is a thorn with La Nina patterns at times - and this is currently a textbook, QBO La Nina pattern. However, I think this winter is far from over at this point. The EPO ridge looks like it may well have some staying power. As we hit February, shortening wavelengths and a weakening La Nina should break the drought. Of note, Cosgrove notes the La Nina is moderate...and that is no bueno for eastern winters. SST anomalies depict La Nina for sure. The positive is that the Nina should rapidly weaken according to him and Webber. Good and bad -> One thing to watch w/ clippers and cold fronts. They can often strengthen a bit on modeling as we approach the event, and they will often lift north at the last second - buyer beware.

Hopefully Pensacola gets 10” while I approach 4 years without a 6+ deal.

just think of how much money was made on Facebook showing fantasy storm snow outputs.

No, the first wave is toast....the follow up may try to come back. I'll be surprised if we get nothing from that, too.

It was so pathetic, I don't think I made a single post......certainly didn't post a clown map. Tells you all you need to know.

Even that thread...it's a virtual wake at this point.

I'll bet the mid Atlantic scores again

Most of it had moved to an unnecessary storm thread. All of that could have been absorbed in here.

You never know.. this could be one of those times where we lose it and then comes back full force in a few runs..

You mean you don’t get off on the PV sitting over your face with bare ground?

I love how Kev Xs my post out when I've been the one telling him all week that this threat period sucked.

I'm a fan of winter. I always have and always will be. Even with all the mayhem. Fortunately people in here almost get depressed when we're not getting the storms. It's disappointing for sure, but it shouldn't dictate your daily living LOL. United wx mention maybe we should close the thread. Might be a good idea. Too many people complaining. Let's take a vote

...many will likely end up living in Florida at some point in their lives...lol

It's going to reverse course violently at some point, dude....even factoring in CC...John would even admit that. I still say this season is going to eventually have a run.

Hey, at least I'm ahead of last year's pace...8.75 vs 5.5" . I had 27" beyond this point last season and expect more this season, so there's that...

That 6z GFS sums up our luck the last several years.. 15 days of ridge out west trough in east, parade of shortwaves diving under us , nothing bites.. what a joke

I can tell . Maybe they shouldn't live in New England.