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It’s almost “low topped hailers” season

Today may be one of the last days this year that we see widespread 80-degree readings across Chester and SE Berks Counties. A backdoor cold front will cross the area later today switching our winds to the north and eventually the northeast by tomorrow. Tomorrow’s temperature will be almost 10 degrees cooler than today. Seasonably cool weather looks to continue for the next week with our next slight chance of showers arriving on Tuesday.

Today may be one of the last days this year that we see widespread 80-degree readings across Chester and SE Berks Counties. A backdoor cold front will cross the area later today switching our winds to the north and eventually the northeast by tomorrow. Tomorrow’s temperature will be almost 10 degrees cooler than today. Seasonably cool weather looks to continue for the next week with our next slight chance of showers arriving on Tuesday.

Two, 1972-1973 and 1988-1989.

The lowest 10 year for JFK was 18.0” from 83-84 to 92-93. So this 7 year stretch has been lower that 10 year. The 7 year got down to 15.8” vs the current 14.5”. The key difference is that snow drought ended with 93-94 and 95-96 since that climate was so much colder than our modern 2020s climate. Unlikely we see a 50”+ season and a 70”+ season during the remainder of the 2020s within 2 years apart to break this snow drought without the greatest volcanic eruption in hundreds to thousands of years. Unfortunately, we don’t have a reliable long range volcanic forecast system.

If you go earlier in the snowfall record even before 1869 it was even snowier and snow stuck around from November to March. There were some 100 inch snowfall winters in there, likely 1782-83, 1804-05, 1836-37, 1844-45.

A 52.3 degree start to the morning with mostly clear skies.

Ouch lol In that earlier period how many of those 6 < 10 inch snowfall seasons were between 1972-1997?

April 1872 was absolutely amazing for snowfall too.

Yea things seem to be bouncing around, almost looks like the summer time meandering storm look we had a couple months ago. I'll pack the rain gear and hope we luck out!

Here too, obv, but every hundred lawns or so is a bright green one. Just irrigating the hell out of it daily. Looks so gross and out of place. Entire landscape is fading color and then, boom, jarring bright green. 1.47" since 8/1. No soil sensor but I was ripping and flipping sod for before sheet mulching in the rain a few weeks ago (when we got an 1" over 3 days), and the soil directly under the grass was dusty dry. While it was raining, literally.

The snow season was also longer, the first few decades of snow records from NYC show about half of Novembers having accumulating snowfall, some of them with major numbers. To be fair though we were on the tail end of ther Little Ice Age and so the background state was just overall naturally cooler even without global warming.

Not one tropical post on my blog...first year that has happened since I started it in 2015. Erin was always a non-threat in my mind, so didn't see fit....if I had more time I probably would have made a post detailing why I was dismissing it early on, but that's it.

Actually that 60 year period had 17 winters with 40+ snowfalls. It was colder then but I believe it was also dryer so snowfall wasn't as high as you would think with the colder temps. I'm sure it stuck around a lot longer when it did snow.

Fun/miserable fact: NYC had 6 <10 inch winters between 1869 and 1997. NYC had 6 <10 inch winters between 1998 and 2024.

I was thinking yesterday how 2025 is the most boring weather year of my life. Absolutely dong for notable weather....nothing. Incrediable quiescence in the tropics....no notable snow events. Unless we have a good December, this is the most boring year by far. 1991 had Bob....1990 had the March ice storm....1989 had the Thanks Giggity (Hi, Tip) snowstorm.....maybe 1988 could challenge? But at least that had Gilbert to distract me a bit-

Maybe some strong storms Tuesday if timing works out

The early part of the NYC snowfall record was much higher than it is now, plus you also have to include compaction since snowfall was measured near the end of the storm. If snowfall was measured like it is now, those earlier decades likely averaged over 40 inches of snow instead of the 32-36 inches using the old method.

the 1980s snowfall drought really commenced after the 1982-83 winter, I'd say it lasted from 1983-84 through 1992-93 if you want to cover a 10 year period. What was the JFK average for those 10 years, Chris?

Despite the very snowy period we also had a highly abnormal amount of under 10 inch winters embedded within the last 30 years as well. Those duds have been much more likely to occur since the Super El Nino compared to the 100+ years of snow records before. So while we averaged higher overall, the annual snowfall has been much more volatile in general, going from feast to famine.

Problem is that since SE Canada hasn't been cold, you have had to get up to about Manchester, NH to benefit much from those...this is why I haven't sniffed normal seasonal snowfall since 2017-2018. Last year SE Canada was colder, but it was so dry that it didn't matter. I think we can at least get the SWFE gradient back closer to I 90 again this year.

it reminds me of just before the rain/snow line breaches the area you often get your heaviest snow.

I don't see that in the record

You'd think we'd have a summer like 1966 with all this dryness, why didn't that happen? 1966 was one of our hottest summers.

Same thing here, Ed, one 90 degree high and one 89 degree high in August, it was a cool month.