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Can you even be mad anymore though? Lol. ive come to hate the winter, can’t wait for the warmth to be back. 4pm sunsets are depressing

06z eps

For the best stuff.

10” total so far. Looks like the hrrr was on to the southern band placement. Not sure how much more we’ll see today. The snow is very dense for lake effect.

That map is to generous the further south you go into SNE.

Damn that far up and in huh?

Same thinking , as long as the goods aren’t 5 miles north of our backyard we will survive another tease.

Definitely going to be on the edge as far as temps are concerned but that is tantalizingly close to an isothermal paster here

Man, I hope you're right. What's crazy is you've got a good chance pull a 20" month (at least)...in November. Awesome start to the season.

You can’t throw that far enough

Still think you need to be ORH to SNH for the goods.

Already gave my call but I think we are going to be in the sweet spot back to back storms. 11.2 inches for MBY is my final final call. Enjoy the storm!

Nice work. Caveat on the COOP "accuracy" for sure. Some sketchy measurements in past years. Regardless, this is definitely a November for the books around here, assuming this storm acts as expected. With that said, gonna narrow my range a bit and go 6-8" final call for here. General consensus QPF numbers in the 0.60-0.80" range, ratios pretty close to 10:1, etc etc. Going to be a fun day to work tomorrow.

Almost looks like a blue bomb for the 84 corridor and with temps this borderline I think elevation would help. 925 and 850 hover around 0 the whole time. I expect this to verify about 50 miles north of the 0c line depicted here however. what a juicy run of the euro widespread 1.5-2.5” qpf

That run was pretty amped as far as SLP goes, Track still a bit to the east once you get up into NNE, Waiting on weather models for the EPS members.

Torches to the pike at 925. Let’s amp it more.

Fall line event makes sense for climo in early season

Assuming the overnight runs were bad with no activity lol

H92 a bit warm until you get into NW CT.

Not the best for CT with those temps.

Gfs is all over the place and tossed. AI is tossed too. This will be a ORH to SNH deal on northeast. For best amounts anyways.

I’d hit that

GEFS not that inspiring.