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  2. Thankfully I don't live anywhere near Newark. I have been out on my boat just about every day this week and the long Island sound water temps are still mid 70's.
  3. Slp just sits off the coast. Chilly in the wake of the storm. Hello Fall! Will this be a familiar scenario thru the winter? Let's hope.
  4. Cold and snow are much less correlated north of 44 N.
  5. Rain doesn't stop on Euro until 108hrs. Lol
  6. Totals thru Tuesday 11pm. Still raining south of PA border too
  7. Euro coming in pretty wet now too thru 78hrs and more to fall.
  8. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2seasonal.shtml
  9. Yeah for record highs in the winter at least, the classic way to do that around here is a Great Lakes Cutter tracking north and west of here. rainy/wet snow/slop mix coastals without cold air are more of a warm overnight low type of deal, and those are what I expect. December 2015 was the weird one because we actually did get lows going well NW despite being a super El Niño.
  10. Yeah it's weird. Always seems to happen around this time of year too.
  11. The storm after the storm. Thats the one to watch
  12. El ninos are usually even more overcast than usual in our already overcast winter climate. That automatically keeps lows up. Though I still expect a subzero night or two.
  13. 60/39 The house is a little chilly all the sudden, ha. Crazy how it can go from stuffy the other day to wearing a hoodie inside.
  14. Turned it off here this morning. Hopefully for the last time this season but you never know.
  15. I can't find a match to this, though. 1997 is closest....
  16. I can't find an analog that has forcing as expansive throughout the tropical Pacific during the month of December as this year is forecast.....1983 looks like a good match for January, as it begins to erode a bit on the eastern flank...the image below is reflective of VP on the color scheme, with the contour representing preci rate to really hone in on the best forcing.
  17. Today
  18. CC is a nutshell...yes, the days are obviously warming, but it's more pronounced at night.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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