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  2. mitchnick
    Eps looks like it'll come in with a similar qpf/storm progression outcome, thought likely not as extreme, as the operational.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    They blew em out!
  4. mitchnick
    Let me be the first.
  5. BrianW
    Thankfully I don't live anywhere near Newark. I have been out on my boat just about every day this week and the long Island sound water temps are still mid 70's.
  6. mitchnick
    Slp just sits off the coast. Chilly in the wake of the storm. Hello Fall! Will this be a familiar scenario thru the winter? Let's hope.
  7. MarcmmKU
    Cold and snow are much less correlated north of 44 N.
  8. mitchnick
    Rain doesn't stop on Euro until 108hrs. Lol
  9. mitchnick
    Totals thru Tuesday 11pm. Still raining south of PA border too
  10. JenkinsJinkies
    Called it.
  11. mitchnick
    Euro coming in pretty wet now too thru 78hrs and more to fall.
  12. mitchnick
    Thru 138hrs, total qpf on the EuroAI.
  13. GaWx
    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2seasonal.shtml
  14. LakePaste25
    Yeah for record highs in the winter at least, the classic way to do that around here is a Great Lakes Cutter tracking north and west of here. rainy/wet snow/slop mix coastals without cold air are more of a warm overnight low type of deal, and those are what I expect. December 2015 was the weird one because we actually did get lows going well NW despite being a super El Niño.
  15. kdxken
    Yeah it's weird. Always seems to happen around this time of year too.
  16. michsnowfreak
    Have a link to the actual main site?
  17. WxUSAF
    The storm after the storm. Thats the one to watch
  18. michsnowfreak
    El ninos are usually even more overcast than usual in our already overcast winter climate. That automatically keeps lows up. Though I still expect a subzero night or two.
  19. powderfreak
    60/39 The house is a little chilly all the sudden, ha. Crazy how it can go from stuffy the other day to wearing a hoodie inside.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    2016 looks okay for Feb....
  21. Brian5671
    Turned it off here this morning. Hopefully for the last time this season but you never know.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Going on strictly VP, nothing compares.
  23. Today
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can't find a match to this, though. 1997 is closest....
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can't find an analog that has forcing as expansive throughout the tropical Pacific during the month of December as this year is forecast.....1983 looks like a good match for January, as it begins to erode a bit on the eastern flank...the image below is reflective of VP on the color scheme, with the contour representing preci rate to really hone in on the best forcing.
  26. ineedsnow
    12z models pretty meh so far for the coastal
  27. 40/70 Benchmark
    CC is a nutshell...yes, the days are obviously warming, but it's more pronounced at night.
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