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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
WmsptWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Overnight runs must have sucked lol -
Steelers fans say keep him lol
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
not a bad surmise, all sarcasm aside ... the compression is unfortunately for some readers and types out there is what happens when the polar winter imposes on a CC footprint - the latter is not going away. the polar region is in fact warming at a faster pace than the mid and lower latitudes around the planet. check. however, the key is 'warming' - it is not warm. And in fact, where we are along the climate curve ...? the polar regions are still imposing a > +d(G) than was the key in prior climate generations. note, we are saying heights - there's also a catch there. temperature variance in latitude, in the lower troposphere, don't always reflect all that. heights are after homogenization of the whole system ... and there's still going to be -40 fuckum cold air masses despite the deep atmosphere speeding up because the gradients in the winter are base-line like an elephant sitting on a trampoline. -
Today’s a great day to fire John Harbaugh!
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I highly doubt my new climo is 37", dude....it's a bad stretch exacerbated by CC, I'm sure. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
acceptance will set you free -
So incredibly sorry for your loss.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'm sure when one finally amplifies, it will go through the finger lakes, followed by one that explodes in the Maritimes...like clockwork- -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
it's pretty much dependable -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The model tenor as of this morning ( really... for the last 10 years - ) heading into that pattern after the 10th .. 11th, yeah, ... ample cold, but once again, it means compressed heights and damping of trafficking S/Ws that would otherwise buckle at short scales enough to induce events. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I've minimized on ever event except the 12/23 deal, which salvaged both my white xmas and sanity. -
My parents were from Shenandoah, PA. Spent many a night sleeping in my Grandparents house upstairs. No insulation, heated only by a coal stove and a coal heater downstairs. No bathtub or shower, just a toilet in the cellar. My parents would tell me of nights where there was frost on the inside of the bedroom walls upstairs. That's why they all had goose down comforters (feather-tiks)...
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Jeez, thought you have more. Im just under 9 inches for the season down here.
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Yes after this week. A coastal threat next week and beyond.
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Taking the reciprocal of a winning season is anti-ideal.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea, IDK....the seasonal map that I have seen posted has us at about exactly 8.5", as well....either you undermeasured a bit, or your street got porked. -
Much love to a team that goes 5-12 after a 12-5 season. The best! Haha
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hopefully the mid-month coastal works out, but I've never been too keen on that. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Great Snow 1717 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I've measured less than 8.5. ....likely going to enter the last 1/3rd of January with well below normal snowfall.. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I haven't touched the last two 1/4"ers.....my driveway is in the shade, so half of it has just kind of sublimated away. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well, last February wasn't really warm....I don't think this February will torch, either.....the cold from latter January will likely spill into February, then warm up for a time, but the stratosphere this year is a lot more favorable for a later ending than it was last season. If you recall, I was all over a fast end last season...I don't see that this year. No guarantees, but the cards are stacked more in our favor this year to drag winter out. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SJonesWX replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
i am as ACATT as they come, but not this week. I really need to get some temps above freezing, as my driveway is still glare ice from the shit last week, whatever day that was. I've been able to get away without having to sand/salt it, but it is terrifying walking on it right now. i took a little digger yesterday as I was cleaning the nuisance 1/2" off it (with the hope that the sun would melt it a bit). So far all that the sun is doing is melting the top layer just enough so it melts then refreezes to an even smoother surface then it was. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ya would like to see ensembles catch on to some sort of threat soon for next week, looks awfully (not-snowy) for a solid pattern around mid month.. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well shy, but I'm just saying, it's not doubtful that we are going to get a decent stretch or three along the way because we only have 8.5" now. . We could get 30" more and it would still be a terrible season in the aggregate.
