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Those winds near PNS are from the second wind max there. Really interesting feature.

Ngl it was pretty clear off live feeds alone at the very least that Ian, Ida, and Michael in addition to Laura had higher sustained speeds than what reports said.

same city that got like 12 inches of snow two winters ago

Milton Florida just recorded 75 MPH sustained gusting to 105 MPH

Odd placement, given LP positioning, but its likely a sting jet pumping out those impressive numbers on the west side.

I mean 98 for Ian?

0z is again significant with widespread 4-8+" along the escarpment. Perfect firehose set-up. HRRR continues to have very gusty winds into Sunday evening with the remnant center running right through Tennessee. Max gusts come mid-afternoon Saturday with 40-50 m.p.h. at elevation. And I will add: just because it isn't Helene, an extreme case, doesn't mean it can't cause significant issues.

Radar velocities still show some 100 mph winds just off the deck for areas just inland

A- Not all METARs are indestructible B- Like what was said earlier, METARs don't always capture the true core of a hurricane C- Wind damage from these of storms beg to differ and provide evidence of higher windspeeds I.E Laura D- Like I said earlier, "sustained" winds are a measure over water and are reduced by friction.

gust to 83mph at buoy PCBF1 near Panama City Beach FL

Why? The shear would still have done the same thing? Shear is Shear

Ian 98 lol. Thats laughable.

Pretty impressive actually, not sure what some of you expected.

two? weeks earlier, this is probably a strong hurricane making landfall

Some of those had anny’s fail though. Or, may have not captured the real core winds that can be small scale.

Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026 900 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IMPACTING THE GULF COAST AS DANGEROUS HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND FLASH FLOODING SPREAD INLAND... ...900 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE... NWS Doppler Radar data and surface observations indicate that Hurricane Isaias now has maximum sustained winds of 85 mph (160 km/h) and an estimated minimum central pressure of 978 mb (28.88 inches). A NOAA National Ocean Service station in Panama City Beach, Florida, recently reported a wind gust to 83 mph (134 km/h) and a sustained wind of 72 mph (116 km/h). This will be the final hourly position update for Isaias. The next full forecast advisory for Isaias will be issued at 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC). SUMMARY OF 900 PM CDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 86.4W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM E OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WNW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...160 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 19 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES $$ Forecaster Mahoney/Camposano/Reinhart/Cangialosi

This exactly what the models depicted... good for them.

Here is a good table for why I do not like the NHC products Hurricane & Landfall Location Real-Time NHC Landfall Advisory Highest Validated Land-Based Sustained Wind The Highest Reporting Land Station Milton (2024) Siesta Key, FL 120 mph (Category 3) 78 mph Venice, FL (Mote Marine Laboratory) Idalia (2023) Keaton Beach, FL 125 mph (Category 3) 81 mph Keaton Beach, FL (WeatherFlow) Ian (2022) Cayo Costa, FL 150 mph (Category 4) 98 mph Cape Coral, FL (WeatherFlow) Ida (2021) Port Fourchon, LA 150 mph (Category 4) 95 mph Southwest Pass, LA (Marine Tower) Laura (2020) Cameron, LA 150 mph (Category 4) 101 mph Calcasieu Pass, LA (NOS Station) Michael (2018) Tyndall AFB, FL 160 mph (Category 5) 118 mph Tyndall Air Force Base, FL Irma (2017) Cudjoe Key, FL 130 mph (Category 4) 111 mph Carysfort Reef Light, FL (Marine Tower) Harvey (2017) Rockport, TX 130 mph (Category 4) 102 mph Aransas Pass, TX (NOS Station) Ike (2008) Galveston, TX 110 mph (Category 2) 86 mph Crabbs Prairie, TX

What a difference 8 hours makes

No it is just the frustation I have with the NHC and their products.

10am to noon

Because Things don’t always work like a model showing 40k shear ripping things apart . So I look at what’s been happening last 25 year that’s different than 25 before that . These storms intensify or hold their own moving onshore or onto land now. I just don’t remember that from 50’s into 90’s You mentioned how it can align some with the shear direction and does not weaken as much . .

We have 22 more days, let things play out a bit.

Is this your first hurricane landfall?

The product says it all