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  2. Charlie, You’re making virtually the same point I was suspecting about Dr. V’s confusing (to me) thoughts about the wind speed. He was thinking the paper was saying sfc winds increased at 40 degrees latitude instead of upper winds shifting N. I thought I might have been lost. But with you matching my thoughts, I feel more confident Dr. V misunderstood. Yeah, Dr. V was focused on only the Atlantic portion instead of also including the Pacific portion at 40N. I didn’t understand why. I agree that Dr. V’s point about the narrow baseline period as well as where the paper’s starting period (2005) was are valid concerns.
  3. I just need Saturday morning to be somewhat rain free. I’m helping run a huge tag sale for the Boy Scouts and we need people to show up and buy stuff.
  4. Parts of Greenfield Work close to or over 3” for Thurs- Monday.
  5. Today
  6. 2.45” Exactly what was thought . A very meh event and only small area saw big amounts over 5-6”. Globals never resolve rainfall well . This will be another great example on Friday. Berks to Freak and Dendy will get 3-7” but most will end up say 1-2.7”. E MA especially south of Boston could see under 1.5”
  7. Another line of showers moving thru here now, Saturday looks like ass once again.
  8. what there's no way your 5 day total was 1 to 2
  9. for the 324th time, those west Atl NAM cyclones are too far NW at this range
  10. “I could see 1-2” but none of this 4” nonsense some are saying”
  11. Another very cool day today. Had a low of 43 and a high of only 55.
  12. How much rain you think you get? Quarter to half inch?
  13. that's twice in a week Spartman has quoted me:
  14. Think there will be some convective elements near low center.
  15. we even get a rotting deform band... just the wrong season
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