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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thought the same thing,THE DMI tho was comparable to 1982 this year,but even so this NINO is kinda mind boggling with the PDO,the graph i posted above was the SSTS which clearly shows `95 was a west/central based NINO,unlike this year -
Yellow Medicine County, MN - Climate Fact or Climate Fiction?
ChescoWx replied to Cobalt's topic in Climate Change
Unsurprisingly just like Chester County PA the raw data shows weak warming, at about two-thirds of NCEI’s rate looking at annual average temperatures for Yellow Medicine County from 1895 through 2025. As seems to be a common approach NCEI’s adjustments push the early years down and the recent years up. Before about 2000, NCEI’s values sit mostly below the raw ones; since then the two lines nearly overlap.....sounds familiar! -
DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...One more night of frost potential will give way to a warming trend early this week. High pressure remains centered along the Mid Atlantic coast this afternoon but will drift southwestward tonight. Low-level flow will turn westerly allowing for less of a marine influence. At the same time, temperatures aloft will begin rising. The surface gradient is weak enough that forecast soundings indicate sharp decoupling. This will send lows into the 30s again, particularly in outlying and low lying areas. A Frost Advisory has been issued for the piedmont where the growing season remains active, as these areas will likely decouple best. The advisory is based on the forecast lows, although there is some potential with dew points starting in the 40s and the moderating airmass, we may ultimately end up with just a heavy dew even if temperatures drop to the mid 30s. Ridgetops meanwhile will stay in the 40s. Expect river valley fog to develop again, although some guidance suggests the fog may affect more areas than in previous nights.
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Ha! well I'm not part of that fake stuff. Temperature is temperature... I'm more focusing in on the unusual nature in which we're getting a sensible autumn out of a deep summer sky - to put it somewhat poetically. This morning the hgts are/were 582 dm ... 27 at the surface. It's been happening a lot since late summer, too. Maybe not that extreme but it's been unbalanced on the whole. If that's coincident with some discussion point than it's unintended.
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Best regular season then worst in the playoffs. They really should have had an outdoor stadium lol
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looks light straight up San Diego weather for the next 7 days at least (highs in the 70s, lows in the 50s). Damn. Gonna have to water this week. Why is there a frost advisory right outside the core urban areas (DC, Arlington, Alexandria) when the lows are only gonna be in the mid 40s?
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You can say it’s been fake .. because it has
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Terrible win it's really awful being 6-0
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Too early/prerequisite challenged ... but indian summer like. The trick will be, 'does the anticyclone get under our latitude?' Since mid to late August actually, these powerhouse high pressure nodes have been moving either bodily overhead of E thru Ontario, placing us persistently in a highly uncoupled lower troposphere relative to mid level soundings. We've been getting frost if not freezes under 576 dm heights - anomalous combination of metrics. Very much so... We've had hyper proficient RAD events as of late, which is an interesting met phenomenon probably under the nose of most people's awareness. It feels like we're getting a normal autumn progression - though with modest positive biases, but it's kind of been lying? so to speak. 27 F under while this; is just another example in many
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Is it me or is leaf change a bit delayed? Im seeing sugar maples with color but not much else.
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Wow, another Browns game winning drive.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Dont agree with 2015.The early onset of the strong NIno happened in 2014 comprared 82-97 and for that matter this year.In the NINO that developed in 2015 the Walker circulation broke down and you didnt see these WWB but saw EWB off South America -
Feel like the Ravens have been able to avoid a complete rebuild in part because of Lamars contract. But the time is nearing. If your success is going to ride on a now injury prone franchise qb someone has tough decisions to make.
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Time to stop pretending players like Roquan Smith and Marlon Humphrey are any good anymore. So far Minter the 'defensive genius' doesnt seem to have many answers.
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Not sure who would get fired. They tried that lol. Just have to move forward and hope Lamar decides to play next week.
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guys on the Cincinnati bench, reading the Sunday paper at this point. "oh look we scored another TD <sips coffee>, isn't that grand"
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that was like just a backyard lob to the receiver, dude just waltzed in.
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If I'm a Ravens fan after that last TD, I want some folks to get fired tonight.
