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  2. vortex95
    Scott uses the TBOS FAA radar for local wind insights. The pride of Weymouth - having a radar! LOL.
  3. MegaMike
    I'll definitely remember this one. Really, the only near full-proof plan with Kalshi is to wait on DSMs/remarks and "trade" on highs/lows that already occur. You need to compete with bots and that's difficult to accomplish unless you develop a bot yourself. I do wonder where people get observations from in near real-time. Odds flipped well before an observation was provided at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KBOS Anyone from the NWS know? I think MADIS is the closest you can get to ~real-time.
  4. stormy
    The US Drought Monitor failed miserably again this morning. This is typical of a government entity that sucks up dollars and spits out crap. Augusta- Severe and Extreme Drought.. It does not exist..
  5. mitchnick
    Nice to hear from you Buckeye.
  6. buckeye
    Yea, a -5 departure for the winter in a place like Atlanta and southern apps probably implies some much below normal periods in there that if timed up with a nino-style stj can give them their freak snows. Meanwhile, during those same periods we're cold but watching the juice slide under us. Likewise, when a place like Columbus or Detroit sees a +5 departure for the winter in a nino, chances are that the cold periods are dry and the warm is wet. But like i mentioned in an earlier post, super ninos can definitely pack a surprise or two.
  7. MegaMike
    Duplicate observations too. I claim foul play! There were other 88 degree observations afterwards, and the DSM does have 88 at 14:59LST (after the random gusts to 51kt) so I'll take the 'L' on this one. If I mention AI again, ban me. Every time I question AI's reliability/efficacy/etc..., I get lit up lol
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    It seems to be warming near the oceans, on the East coast and West coast, but not as much in the Midwest, where it's flat. I remember global predictions in the 90s had a +PDO/El Nino pattern projected for decades forward, but it has not happened that way. Maybe some of the EC warmth is associated with +AMO decadal.
  9. CoastalWx
    I’m in Weymouth sort of in the northern part of town a couple miles from the water. I had a pretty good southwest wind all day, usually if that’s the case and Logan Seabreeze they’ll bump after 4 o’clock many times it’s like between five and 6 o’clock.
  10. michsnowfreak
    This is a good point. But even then, its not steady temps across the board. Its still colder in the mean in the north than the south. Which means blues in the south arent necessarily great for snow, but reds in the north arent prohibitive of snow either.
  11. dendrite
    SW 13kt and back down to 86°. Maybe a pilot had the over on 88°
  12. michsnowfreak
    Going to be a snowy winter in Vegas and Miami!
  13. michsnowfreak
    Same with Erie. And NYC for that matter. 1990s winters were warmer than 2000s or 2010s winters. The globe may have warmed in that timeframe but winters in the Lakes/Northeast were colder the next 2 decades after the 1990s. So any parallels to the 1997-98 nino I certainly wont be worried about a verbatim weather scenario with temps a degree or 2 warmer, thats not how the weather works.
  14. dendrite
    BOS is always a gamble to bet on. There was a wind error in there around the time the wind flipped though. I don’t think they gusted to 51kt. lol
  15. vortex95
    Sun could be interesting. Ydy it acted more like a BDF and cool marine infested, but tdy not at all. BDF in a classic sense occurs when it is anticyclonic NW flow here w/ high heights/thickness, and the only cool air is very shallow. Not the case here at all. It is cyclonic flow aloft w/ falling heights and a decent vort/shortwave moving in Sun aftn. GFS/ECM show half-decent CAPE and w/ the cold 500 temps and dynamic support, could be good in some areas. Not honkin' svr, but I bet good enough for WxWiz! The front sagging just to S may actually help in this case. Also, cells dropping N to S? They tend to do well.
  16. HIPPYVALLEY
    Which ensembles have 90’s next week?
  17. MegaMike
    +6 degrees within 5 minutes. Definitely didn't expect that. The first few observations looked suspicious too. Good call, @CoastalWx I guess I gotta' torch the sensor to collect on the over
  18. vortex95
    Yes, and ASOS is as well. Recall it was noted that whatever falls in the ASOS gauge and melts as LEQ, can't be adjusted? So the 37.9" at PVD in the Feb storm had only 1.78" LEQ. That seems high the 21:1 ratio. BOS is much worse. 17.1" and only .47" LEQ for that storm? PVD -5", ORH -3.5", BDL -2.5" CON -2". So the -7.5" at BOS does not fit. And we are talking the first 5 months of the year where you do not have higher local differences from convection. But the media doesn't care, they just take thing as face value and run w/ it.
  19. Torch Tiger
    He certainly does...we all do
  20. Typhoon Tip
    Yeah they flipped hard... SW gusting to 22
  21. dendrite
    Warm one, but it is June
  22. WxWatcher007
    Development signals continue on guidance today.
  23. dendrite
    BOS 88
  24. Brian5671
    Drying out fast here.
  25. Today
  26. Typhoon Tip
    the N is actually calm - they're fighting though. Temp bounced to 88 which is on par with downtown anyway, but they back to SE at 7 ...altho I doubt they gusted to 59 unless they picked up some jet wash. ha! flip floppin
  27. MegaMike
    Winds out of the north now. Probably no good for highs staying below 88.
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