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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I am sticking by the well established trend we’ve had for the last 46+ years…..El Nino/+QBO = warm December in the northeast/midatlantic. It’s not just a strong signal, it’s an EXTREMELY strong signal. All of them ended that way without any exceptions. I see no reason to believe otherwise right now. If I’m wrong then oh well, I’ll own it -
LOL. As expected. It only gets worse from here.
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Sigh. Back on script
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
stadiumwave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
72 with the strong -PDO as well. Pretty sucky winter. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I actually had 1981 as an analog, si I wasn't suprised by the eaeky warming last year...I just didn't think it would end up as a full reversal..it was close. -
Sunscreen wx
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Oct/Nov 1972 had a warm Stratosphere But there are only 5 Super Nino analogs since satellite data in 1948 so it's not like you can say something that usually happens 10-15% of the time not happening is statistically relevant. It's interesting that we are diverging from the Super warm Dec - 2015
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26 to 66. It's a beauty out there.
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Last year had some impacts I'd say. This is clearly a stronger event than last year & earlier I think. Either way, hard to say exactly what impacts it might have now & later since we are still so young in our atmospheric climatology.
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5 weeks from now…we don’t know what pattern may be? And it just takes one night. Odds become greater with every passing day bro.
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We’ll see?
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What a day…Autumn at its best. Frost this morning…,67 now.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
stadiumwave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
0z Euro, full split by NOV 7 10mb 50mb One week later warming still undergoing 10mb 50mb Regardless if u-wind reversal occurs (full SSW), this is very impressive! Is there another year comparable? Is there another super el nino that has an early warming & comparable to this? -
No. Pattern is furnaced
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Too bad it’s not a 30 min game lol
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Burrow has 0 points in the last 6 quarters against Baltimore
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You’ll freeze before that.
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Offense has dominated, and defense has played lights out, but only 13-0? Bengals are gonna wake up at some point. Some bad throws by Snoop in that last series. Should have had a TD.
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No, i'd rather have cooler weather. Kankakee's October is avg for Raleigh NC. I lived in SC for 17 years, I remember it well.
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October 2026 General Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
you’d rather have bouts of rain showers? pass. -
Set up the sprinkler?
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Become anomalous enough to no longer be boring imo
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We are in the midst of one of the best stretches of autumn weather I can remember. Almost hit 70 after a low of 27. Wandering around the yard looking for something to do, but its all done...
- Today
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Couple weeks? lol. Won’t freeze thru Tgiving
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Perfect October day. 61* and not a cloud in sight at Pit2.
