jshetley Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Meanwhile there are barely any clouds here, much less any storms. The upstate SC split is in full force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Meanwhile there are barely any clouds here, much less any storms. The upstate SC split is in full force.Don't worry, the cold front coming through between 3AM-10AM, will bring us tons of rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Don't worry, the cold front coming through between 3AM-10AM, will bring us tons of rain! I though we had a chance, but the northern end of that big cluster is falling apart. Just as I thought yesterday much of the upstate will miss this event. Someone in the upstate will hit 110 this year if this pattern holds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 I though we had a chance, but the northern end of that big cluster is falling apart. Just as I thought yesterday much of the upstate will miss this event. Someone in the upstate will hit 110 this year if this pattern holds up.Heavy T Storm and we got hit by the strongest, northermost cell and stratoform looks great! A meso-low could be forming! This should be good for .5-.75" of desperately needed rain! Amazeballs !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Nice stationary boundary has formed just S of I-40 in Central/Eastern NC. Nothing around me, but Raleigh and Goldsboro could get something from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Heavy T Storm and we got hit by the strongest, northermost cell and stratoform looks great! A meso-low could be forming! This should be good for .5-.75" of desperately needed rain! Amazeballs !! That moderate rain back in Oconee, Pickens, and Anderson should reach you, but it has no chance of making it past I-26. These storms just do not last long enough and are too small to give many places a good rain. You need 1 of these to form in the exact right spot if you want rain from them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Steady, luscious , rain! Stratoform, is actually strengthening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 New outflow moving up into JoCo from the SE. Maybe they'll mix and drop something? Glad to see you getting some rain, Mackerel. Really not fond of dry fish. Hope you luck into something, jshetley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 It's on to next week here. Everything is east of here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Sunday showing a high of 69 with a low a 49, not summer yet , still haven't hit 90 at PGV or IMBY....did get 88 once though on April 19th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 New outflow moving up into JoCo from the SE. Maybe they'll mix and drop something? Glad to see you getting some rain, Mackerel. Really not fond of dry fish. Hope you luck into something, jshetley. Picked up .72 from tonight's storm! Hoping for another rd with fropa tonight, but am very happy, even if we don't ! Next week does look unsettled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 2.55" yesterday with quarter size hail. Showery this morning with the heaviest in south-west VA. Might hit the upper 30s this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 13, 2016 Author Share Posted May 13, 2016 0.43" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 0.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Little thundershower just to the East of here towards Smithfield. Not looking very promising for the rest of afternoon around this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Little thundershower just to the East of here towards Smithfield. Not looking very promising for the rest of afternoon around this area. Thinking it's going to be too cloudy to let anything boil over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 RAH is still expecting something later this afternoon... As noted below, the two areas of showers or light rain continue toprogress northeast across central and eastern NC. High resolutionconvection allowing models suggest that convection should begindeveloping during the next couple of hours near the U.S. 1 regionand push northeast ahead of a prefrontal trough. This region ischaracterized by dew points in the mid to upper 60s along with weakbut slowly increasing instability with MLCAPE values around 500J/Kg. The scattered convection should expand and intensify as itpushes east into the Sandhills and southern Coastal Plain during theearly to mid afternoon with MLCAPE values increasing to around 1000J/Kg. A strengthening flow aloft should support bulk shear valuesapproaching 30 kts which will lead to some storm organization and alimited severe threat focused on downburst winds. while the mainlines pushes out of the RAH CWA late this afternoon additionalisolated convection may develop in the Coastal Plain and Sandhillsregion behind the prefrontal trough but ahead of the slowing coldfront. The RAP and NAM guidance note that the front and the drierdewpoints may not reach the Sandhills until after midnight whichcould support an isolated shower or storm across that area throughsunset and period of low stratus or fog into the early morninghours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Getting some breaks in the clouds and peeks of sun now. Have to see if ti is enough to fire off some storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 I dunno what's going to happen. we gone from "mainly between 2-5PM" to this.... Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 80. West wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Doesn't seem like RAH knows for sure, either. Didn't look like we were going to get a storm yesterday, and then had one roll in around 9:00 last night. Guess we'll just wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 AFD- 3:20 PM Convection has been slow to fire and expand across central NC thisafternoon largely owing to the widespread clouds and more limitedsurface destabilization. We still expect another few sets ofconvective clusters to develop across the far eastern Piedmont andmore likely the Sandhills as well as the southern and centralCoastal Plain. The convection will move east and northeast with thebest coverage shifting east out of the RAH CWA by 22Z. An isolatedshower or thunderstorm is still possible into the evening hoursacross the southeast with low level moisture slow to dislodge asthe cold front slowly advances east. all of the precipitation shouldend by mid evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 And another forecast change... Looks like all the action is going to be well to the East - A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Northwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 14, 2016 Share Posted May 14, 2016 45 Can see my breath outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 14, 2016 Share Posted May 14, 2016 0.02" Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 14, 2016 Share Posted May 14, 2016 Seems pretty incredible, but coming home just now, I saw a distant thunderhead on the horizon to the South. Just checked the map... the storm is just North of N. Myrtle Beach --- 103 miles away in a straight line!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 15, 2016 Share Posted May 15, 2016 40 over 30 with another 2 hours of dropping. 35 in Boone. My guess is around 35/36 for Monday morning with patchy frost E of the blue ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 15, 2016 Share Posted May 15, 2016 Bottomed out at 46 here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted May 15, 2016 Share Posted May 15, 2016 57 at CAE this morning.....much better than the 70's 0.00 in the bucket......sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 15, 2016 Share Posted May 15, 2016 44.3 F IMBY this morning. Loved it! Sent from my 6045O using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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