canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Damn iPhone! ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yea, turns out what's falling here is plain rain with a bit of skeet thrown in for good measure. I think it was zr when started as much lighter but since it's light-moderate it doesnt appear to be freezing on my drive. holy shiat, i heard that one all the way down in Central Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Snow , Sleet and FRZN mix here...driveway is impassible right now....28.9* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 People seem to hear what they want to hear sometimes. Even when I was growing up, people would say things about how 6" of snow was coming when all of the TV mets said snow showers or an inch or two. Unfortunately, some people will probably be caught off guard by the ice tonight. My car has a fresh glaze of ice on it and it's only 29 (and still raining). That is so true. Anytime snow or ice is mentioned in the forecast, many people automatically think it's going to be a BIG storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Martin ftw, Yeah... everything is overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Light snow here still...lots of school delays. Temp hung around 30 last night. currently 32. These nuisance snows is starting to add up. Not awake yet need another cup of coffee. Edit: I see after last nights runs we have very little model consistency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Thackara from ABC 27 - "Next, we turn our attention to a storm system moving in for Thursday night and Friday morning. Clouds will increase during the day tomorrow with snow arriving by late evening. Most of the snow will fall overnight Thursday and the storm should be done by Friday morning. Total accumulation at this point looks to be between 2 and 5 inches. As more data comes in, we'll keep watching and keep you posted on the latest." And from Mr. Lambert at CTP - "MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL OF 2-4 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. AROUND 5 INCHES IS IN THE CARDS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SCHUYLKILL COUNTY...AND PERHAPS THE REGION EAST OF HARRISBURG." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Thackara from ABC 27 - "Next, we turn our attention to a storm system moving in for Thursday night and Friday morning. Clouds will increase during the day tomorrow with snow arriving by late evening. Most of the snow will fall overnight Thursday and the storm should be done by Friday morning. Total accumulation at this point looks to be between 2 and 5 inches. As more data comes in, we'll keep watching and keep you posted on the latest." And from Mr. Lambert at CTP - "MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL OF 2-4 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. AROUND 5 INCHES IS IN THE CARDS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SCHUYLKILL COUNTY...AND PERHAPS THE REGION EAST OF HARRISBURG." He is the worst met in the harrisburg area, imo. I like WHTM 27 news, but if he is working, when they get to the weather, i change the channel. He was horriable last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 He's better than Rob Dixon imo. 33 and a steady rain in Harrisburg. Ice is definitely not an issue this morning on the roads except maybe the outer edges of backroads (left over from yesterday). We'll see what happens Thursday night/Friday morning. Models surely don't have a great handle (consistent, at least) as of last night's 0z runs for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 He's better than Rob Dixon imo. 33 and a steady rain in Harrisburg. Ice is definitely not an issue this morning on the roads except maybe the outer edges of backroads (left over from yesterday). We'll see what happens Thursday night/Friday morning. Models surely don't have a great handle (consistent, at least) as of last night's 0z runs for sure. I forgot about him...ah what the heck, i don't like any of them. If i was reading it right, the nam had us getting 5 1/2" We shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Who needs 'em? We have this thread anyway, far superior to any local TV met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Who needs 'em? We have this thread anyway, far superior to any local TV met. Boy ain't that the truth. I said the same thing about a week or so ago, if we're relying on the local TV guys for weather, we are all in trouble. I don't like any of them. That is, except for Weather World. Joe Lundberg is going for 3" to 6" for here tomorrow night, he's usually very good and conservative with his numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'm a little confused as far as timing. Now understand i may have no idea what i'm reading here http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_nam/nam_kmdt.dat but to me, it looks like the snow arrives around 1am and snow until about 2 pm....But people at work are telling me they are hearing from the locals, snow early thursday and done by 6am friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'm a little confused as far as timing. Now understand i may have no idea what i'm reading here http://www.meteor.ia...am/nam_kmdt.dat but to me, it looks like the snow arrives around 1am and snow until about 2 pm....But people at work are telling me they are hearing from the locals, snow early thursday and done by 6am friday? Remember that the times are in GMT, so 14z would be 9am (since we are in Standard time). Add the fact that these things usually end faster than the models say they will, that gives you an end time around mid-morning Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Remember that the times are in GMT, so 14z would be 9am (since we are in Standard time). Add the fact that these things usually end faster than the models say they will, that gives you an end time around mid-morning Friday. Ah, didn't realize that, thank you... so this line is for 9PM? 110121/0200Z 50 VRB02KT 25.7F SNOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 12z NAM goes east. Nice C PA elbow for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 2 words come to mind - THE DOME 12z NAM goes east. Nice C PA elbow for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Ah, didn't realize that, thank you... so this line is for 9PM? 110121/0200Z 50 VRB02KT 25.7F SNOW Yep, we are 5 hours earlier during Standard Time, 4 hours earlier during Daylight Saving Time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yep, we are 5 hours earlier during Standard Time, 4 hours earlier during Daylight Saving Time. well that sure helps me understand that much better as far as the timing.. Thank you for your patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Here's the NAM precip map, we all still get a little event but around 2-4 max it looks like: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Here's the NAM precip map, we all still get a little event but around 2-4 max it looks like: Basically a 2-5" storm unless you are in eastern pa. My first call map is coming up after gfs comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 as their discussing in the mid atalntic thread., just like january 11-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 as their discussing in the mid atalntic thread., just like january 11-12. With actually even less precip. NYC sees about the same as most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 With actually even less precip. NYC sees about the same as most. weren't we like .33 qbf for that event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 weren't we like .33 qbf for that event? Models had me getting .1-.25" QPF. I got 4". I am not worried at all. Another nice 3+" event most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 weren't we like .33 qbf for that event? Kind of talking in general terms. We see about the same, but overall in most areas it's not as significant as last week. Would love to see amounts tick up. It's hard to get excited about 2-4" when you've been missing out on 6-12"+ events all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Kind of talking in general terms. We see about the same, but overall in most areas it's not as significant as last week. Would love to see amounts tick up. It's hard to get excited about 2-4" when you've been missing out on 6-12"+ events all winter. I'm the opposite - I'm excited for a 2-4" event because we've had nothing over 4" all winter! Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Models had me getting .1-.25" QPF. I got 4". I am not worried at all. Another nice 3+" event most likely. yeah, in the HBG area we ended with 4.25". i beleive the snow came in quicker/earlier then thought. They (local mets) were only calling for 1-2" and we had that easily by 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 yeah, in the HBG area we ended with 4.25". i beleive the snow came in quicker/earlier then thought. They (local mets) were only calling for 1-2" and we had that easily by 9 And this last storm Models were under or around .25". I got .35". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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