RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Out to 54, southern energy looks a bit less organized than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The 00Z NAM is fine. Still more amped than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 The 00Z NAM is fine. Still more amped than the GFS. Agree, 84hr on 00z NAM looks better than 90hr on 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 looks like it would be a descent hit for us Central VA folks i think....assuming that the NAM is correct (thats a big assumption). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Why are the SREF all faster with this thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The GFS looks faster already to me.....DOubt that would be good. I haven't seen you like a model run yet. Maybe cool off on posting in model threads for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 at 84 low a bit closer to coast than 90 18z. 50 to 75 miles closer maybe??...some nice precip moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Each run it seems to edge a bit more west. Upper levels also better. Higher highs than 18Z leads to a bit better track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well I guess it's bad if you were expecting a SECS. if you like 4-8, there's still plenty of hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Ill let the run finish....out to 90 it actulally doesnt look too bad, but my statement was not incorrect, it is certainly faster....but I guess the northern stream is still able to be a litttle faster to and allow is to be similar to previous runs even west some. not faster at all.....compare 48 0z with 54 18z thru 78 to 84 respectively n you will see it's actually a bit slower and a bit more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well I guess it's bad if you were expecting a SECS. if you like 4-8, there's still plenty of hope i think a 4-8 event is a real possibility as we are seeing some good model consistency withing double digit hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 About time I paid Mallow a visit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Gfs has been consistent over the past few days of lowering the heights over northwest Canada and Alaska around jan 20(allowing for the ugly southeast ridge to invade) But that also means the colder air will be reloading again in the Arctic store house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 . Next year? Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 00z gfs ensembles mean 120 qpf at hr 120 is farther east then the operational and more for ohio (sorry about jump in image, but thats the way it was on the website for images) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 00z gfs ensembles mean 120 qpf at hr 120 is farther east then the operational (sorry about jump in image, but thats the way it was on the website for images) ...for Nebraska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The ugly, smelly NOGAPS just grabbed some blonde Euro babe and bent her over the forecasting desk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 SLP...EURO is color filled and GFS is contoured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 SLP...EURO is color filled and GFS is contoured I'm no expert, but isn't the difference between the two the fact that the Euro drives the northern stream south faster and spins up the storm closer to the coast? I say this with seeing ther ridge further south in the northern plains on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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