October 2026

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Nonsense - he is predicting 10 - 40 inches total snowfall for Zone 4 ???? Why doesn't he just say he has no idea..................plus he seems so sure the early polar vortex disruption will be a short one and December will be a mild basically snowless month. He is one of the very few reputable METS online taking that chance before the vortex disruption even started........

It’s a very solid forecast. One blockbuster is the difference between an above normal season or struggling to get to 10”. We saw this in both 82/83 and 15/16 and on the opposite side 72/73 and 97/98. It’s an eggs all in one basket situation.


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[MANDA]

Surprised no chatter on here about the chances for a soaking rain later next week.  About 6 days out but has been varying model support for a few days now.  Details to be determined but decent chances our prolonged dry and pleasant weather will be coming to an end before next week is over.  Would bring an end to the 2026 foliage season for the N&W crew as well.

Opening bid from WPC has 1.5-2.5" subform wide.

[NEG NAO]

15 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s a very solid forecast. One blockbuster is the difference between an above normal season or struggling to get to 10”. We saw this in both 82/83 and 15/16 and on the opposite side 72/73 and 97/98. It’s an eggs all in one basket situation.


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trying to forecast one blockbuster snowstorm prior to winter is the same as trying to predict you will win the million dollar lottery - did anyone predict the blockbuster snowstorms prior to last winter ?

[NEG NAO]

6 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Surprised no chatter on here about the chances for a soaking rain later next week.  About 6 days out but has been varying model support for a few days now.  Details to be determined but decent chances our prolonged dry and pleasant weather will be coming to an end before next week is over.  Would bring an end to the 2026 foliage season for the N&W crew as well.

Opening bid from WPC has 1.5-2.5" subform wide.

maybe because soaking rains are so common around here..........

[Brian5671]

9 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Surprised no chatter on here about the chances for a soaking rain later next week.  About 6 days out but has been varying model support for a few days now.  Details to be determined but decent chances our prolonged dry and pleasant weather will be coming to an end before next week is over.  Would bring an end to the 2026 foliage season for the N&W crew as well.

Opening bid from WPC has 1.5-2.5" subform wide.

If there's wind it will strip the leaves here too-right now close to peak and looks great

[Stormlover74]

10 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Surprised no chatter on here about the chances for a soaking rain later next week.  About 6 days out but has been varying model support for a few days now.  Details to be determined but decent chances our prolonged dry and pleasant weather will be coming to an end before next week is over.  Would bring an end to the 2026 foliage season for the N&W crew as well.

Opening bid from WPC has 1.5-2.5" subform wide.

I posted about it in the November thread but yeah we should start discussing it since its been consistently showing up on the euro and gfs

[Stormlover74]

25 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s a very solid forecast. One blockbuster is the difference between an above normal season or struggling to get to 10”. We saw this in both 82/83 and 15/16 and on the opposite side 72/73 and 97/98. It’s an eggs all in one basket situation.


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But anyone could make that forecast and no way to know if we get that 1 big one or mostly skunked