E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion

[LVLion77]

Same here. The lv got screwed again. The models cannot handle the dryness.  The corn is smiling again. All we have gotten is the bad wind damage 
Ling

I suspect, but I can’t stay with certainty that the forecasting accuracy has gotten far worse for a place like the Lehigh Valley. I could be talking out of my rear, but I just wonder if overreliance on computer modeling eliminates the way that local human meteorologist would take into account other factors, such as local elevations, microclimates, stable airflows, etc.

[simbasad2]

26 minutes ago, LVLion77 said:

I suspect, but I can’t stay with certainty that the forecasting accuracy has gotten far worse for a place like the Lehigh Valley. I could be talking out of my rear, but I just wonder if overreliance on computer modeling eliminates the way that local human meteorologist would take into account other factors, such as local elevations, microclimates, stable airflows, etc.

Models just don't do well with setups like this in general. Everything is dependent on the exact placement of outflow boundaries with respect to terrain. Any marginal error in timing, placement, strength of cold pool, etc will result in a completely different evolution of these storms

[Hurricane Agnes]

Well ended up wit another 0.42" for today, raising the total to 1.43".  2-day Is 3.07".

Got up to 79 for a high and am currently at my low of 68.

 

[ChescoWx]

Some light showers have been around this morning, and we will continue with some small chances of these through the day. We clear up tomorrow with what looks to be our best weather day of the week with sunny skies and highs several degrees below normal July levels in the upper 70's to near 80. Our next chance of showers and storms looks to arrive on Thursday night into Friday morning.

[Hurricane Agnes]

Glad for the heat break today.  Only made it to 75 for a high after a low of 65.  Also managed to get 0.02" between 1am - 2 am (event total now 3.09").

Currently 73 with dp 68.

[Psychguy]

6 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Glad for the heat break today.  Only made it to 75 for a high after a low of 65.  Also managed to get 0.02" between 1am - 2 am (event total now 3.09").

Currently 73 with dp 68.

It was a gorgeous day today... loved my morning walk in the mist/fog with the pup and my better half... loved that I was able to go for a run and not sweat 10 gallons, and am loving sitting on the porch listening to the birds and the kids playing outside (I could however do without the Mister Softee jingle in the background... but you can't have everything, I guess... :)))

[ChescoWx]

Yesterday's high here in East Nantmeal was only 72.7 this set a new low maximum temperature for the date set back in 2005 of 73.7. Another below normal temperature day today with highs not far from 80 degrees. Shower chances increase tomorrow afternoon and again on Friday into Friday night. Temperatures remain near normal through the weekend before warming a few degrees above with highs by the middle of next week in the mid to upper 80's. Does not look like any return of 90 degree plus reading across the county for the foreseeable future.

[Birds~69]

82F/DP 70F

I had enough of these DPs...