2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino

[michsnowfreak]

7 hours ago, GaWx said:

Thanks, Chris.

 Indeed, Cansips was much too cold in the E US this spring. And it has been too cold there at other times. But I’m curious. Does it actually have a well analyzed documented cold bias in the E US based on an amply sized sample based on a good number of years? I wouldn’t be surprised but it’s important to know, of course.

I would like to see this cold bias documented too. Bias would mean it regularly runs too warm/cold. Cansips was the only model close to the cold in the great lakes and northeast last winter. Does that mean every other model has a warm bias?

[michsnowfreak]

5 hours ago, mitchnick said:

Who cares

Even though its clear who the trolls are, its a shocking lack of understanding how the actual weather works. 

[michsnowfreak]

54 minutes ago, roardog said:

My memory might be failing me but I think 1997 was the year of the November snowstorm bust here. We had a winter storm warning for 6-10 inches for the next day. By morning the warning was dropped and the forecast was for 1-3 inches. We never got a flake. It was all down toward you. 

There was a 3" snow Nov 14 and another 1.6" the 15th. I dont remember forecasts that long ago (I was young lol). Mid november to mid December, the 2nd half of january, and spurts of March were wintry. The rest sucked.

[forkyfork]

wow someone named michsnowfreak is a climate change denier. bones found in cemetery 

[michsnowfreak]

Ignorance really is bliss with the trolls.

[snowman19]

As a weather enthusiast, I’m actually looking forward to seeing a true east-based super El Niño in action this winter. I was too young to remember 1997-98. Should be fun to watch 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

I'm really curious to see how the North Pacific High responds. Should be very telling about larger scale things. 

[FPizz]

18 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

As a weather enthusiast, I’m actually looking forward to seeing a true east-based super El Niño in action this winter. I was too young to remember 1997-98. Should be fun to watch 

What was the total precip that winter in central park?  I remember the crappy winter snow wise (5.5" total here) but cant remember if it was wet too.  

[so_whats_happening]

Just a cesspool like twitter in here, bunch of noise with very little thought.

I'll remove April in future updates.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Where's El Nino in the N Pacific? 

[roardog]

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

As a weather enthusiast, I’m actually looking forward to seeing a true east-based super El Niño in action this winter. I was too young to remember 1997-98. Should be fun to watch 

A true east based Nino should have near zero or negative anomalies in Nino 4 correct? I’ll believe that when I see it. I believe Nino 4 had a big drop off in June 1997. Let’s see if that happens this year.