February 2026

[WintryMixmaster]

On 2/10/2026 at 10:17 PM, Carvers Gap said:

The Weeklies are cold from week 3 onward - I wouldn't even say 50-60s seasonal stuff.  Looks to me like highs in the 40s for many.  I would assume most understand we aren't getting January temps in late February or March - LOL.  But the Weeklies this afternoon are a slog.  Maps are referenced above.  Same, exact signal as the past two cold shots.  I would put a target date from just after Feb 21 to the end of March(or earlier).   I do think winter hangs on longer than most are gonna want it to...especially after this warm-up gets everyone ready for spring.  I highly doubt NE TN and your area are done for the season.  I would never guarantee anything...but the pattern itself would yield cold.  I would suggest it may well be significantly colder than seasonal, but still a ways to go before getting too specific on my part.  They were cold enough this afternoon that I was digging up the Pisgah snow analogs for May of 92.    I think a lot of folks who are new to the region haven't seen what March can do in Tennessee as we have flipped warm during so many recent springs.  I am not saying we go to that place this March...but I have certainly seen March be a winter month.  This has been a winter where we have thought it ended multiple times.  Does it have one last gasp?  Maybe.

I am gonna make one early call...I think fall comes early. 

My biggest snow here was in January 2024... my second biggest was March 2022. Do you remember the setup? I think it was a bowling ball ULL that dropped down from the north, but I remember it being very mild the day before, snowing extremely heavily overnight and into the morning hours, and ending with 6.5 inches. Quickly melted away in the afternoon sun and the next day as it warmed up again, but an exciting storm of a magnitude I never thought I'd experience in Knoxville again (until January 2024 came around that is). But I definitely never write off March after that, even if the odds are low

[John1122]

The March 2022 snow was a Miller A, just timed up perfectly with a cold shot. We were in the 70s a few days before it arrived.