John1122 Posted yesterday at 04:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:03 AM 4 hours ago, *Flash* said: Total snow since 1/19/26… It's closer than any mrx map for here. I got two inches before the ice started, and two after. And around 7 from this event and that has the 10 inches at least close to me. According to mrx I had about 3 total inches. They also showed less than .10 ice here and I had almost .4. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted yesterday at 04:31 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:31 AM 23 minutes ago, John1122 said: It's closer than any mrx map for here. I got inches before the ice started, and two after. And around 7 from this event and that has the 10 inches at least close to me. According to mrx I had about 3 total inches. They also showed less than .10 ice here and I had almost .4. Yeah, I agree it's closer overall John. I noticed it has your location pretty close. Still way off here. I've contacted NOAA. Hope to get a response Tomorrow. From what it looks like is what I've mentioned in here as far as this Area is concerned, and that's the flawed Pennington gap Station at the Sewer Plant. It's rightfully located to how it is; full of sh*t. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted yesterday at 05:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:10 AM Got 7.2" Analysis has me at 5.5-5.9". Not great, not terrible. 3 hours ago, Daniel Boone said: They have it wrong for here. That is affecting Model Outputs as John noted. I'll contact someone regarding that. I don't know if that's estimated or based off Observations or both. Im in central Lee County and have recorded 7.8" Seems that one station has messed everything up in Lee. EDIT: Just realized this includes the previous storm. Got 1.5" before zr and 2.0" after for a total of 10.7" so it's way off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 6 hours ago, *Flash* said: Total snow since 1/19/26… Middle TN has had the temps but the middle finger on the snow dept. ouch. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago latest HRRR tossing out some ZR for afternoon evening, in east TN locations in the freezer this AM: Manages to squeeze out 0.30" in east Knox county: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago Clouds moving in already, so not sure how much warming we can swing. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago MRX mentioned that snow cover was having a big effect on temps and that even lower elevations may have a mix of rain and snow this afternoon and then tomorrow night maybe a dusting to a few tenths of an inch of snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
housemtnTN Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Manages to squeeze out 0.30" in east Knox county: I could really do without ice lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownNDirtyTN Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 10 hours ago, BlunderStorm said: Got 7.2" Analysis has me at 5.5-5.9". Not great, not terrible. Seems that one station has messed everything up in Lee. EDIT: Just realized this includes the previous storm. Got 1.5" before zr and 2.0" after for a total of 10.7" so it's way off. Chernobyl reference? If so that popped me. If not - it popped me anyway because I friggin loved that short series. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 8 hours ago, Matthew70 said: Middle TN has had the temps but the middle finger on the snow dept. ouch. A cumulative ice + snow map might be more interesting, though that won't make most in Middle TN any happier. Glad I somehow got in the blue. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 10 hours ago Author Share Posted 10 hours ago Occasionally, some really bright returns on radar across middle TN along the leading edge as the precip moves in. Would almost guarantee a burst of sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 10 hours ago Author Share Posted 10 hours ago Zoomed in for detail: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago We were predicted to hit 45 today. It's 36. I am sure it's going to rain but another day of thick clouds has meant snow not melting off the roads. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 9 hours ago Author Share Posted 9 hours ago Even got a few lightning strikes on the front end: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 9 hours ago Author Share Posted 9 hours ago As far as I can tell, it looks like everyone has gotten above freezing, so at least no ice to deal with this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 18z NAM 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Precipitation started as sleet as I drove off the mountain. All rain in Jacksboro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago I gotta admit. It feels good out there. After looking the Weeklies 500 pattern for March....I need to bank some warm days. Looks like cold returns after Feb 20th roughly. No guarantees. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Temp is 34 with this rain. It's slicker out now that it was at any point with the snow and cold. Grip is good when it's 25 or below. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Down to 33 now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I hit 40 earlier but somehow have worked my way back down to 32 at the moment. I’m in an area the HRRR showed with ZR for this evening. I don’t think it will last long, but it’s interesting nonetheless! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I see that Kentucky is getting heavy snow again this evening. This has been one of the most epic winter ever 150 miles north of our area. We are better at warming up from extreme cold and raining than any spot in the nation. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintryMixmaster Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Short range models have been consistently showing this dusting of snow tomorrow evening. I'll take any accumulation I can get if the ground temps cool off enough and we get enough moisture from the lee side low. Nickels and dimes still add up over the course of a winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, John1122 said: I see that Kentucky is getting heavy snow again this evening. This has been one of the most epic winter ever 150 miles north of our area. We are better at warming up from extreme cold and raining than any spot in the nation. It dumped it once you get up around Marion on to Blacksburg VA too. Blacksburg NWS shared some Pics on X. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 22 minutes ago, WintryMixmaster said: Short range models have been consistently showing this dusting of snow tomorrow evening. I'll take any accumulation I can get if the ground temps cool off enough and we get enough moisture from the lee side low. Nickels and dimes still add up over the course of a winter I see it's showing the my Lee County in the light area again thanks to the bad Data going into the Model's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintryMixmaster Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 30 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: I see it's showing the my Lee County in the light area again thanks to the bad Data going into the Model's. It's kind of interesting how some of the models show the snow hole there and some don't. RDPS and NAM don't have it, but the NAM 3k does and the HRW literally has snow on all sides of Lee County but stops right around the county lines lol. Are certain models being fed the bad data while others don't have the resolution to pick up on it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 33 minutes ago, WintryMixmaster said: It's kind of interesting how some of the models show the snow hole there and some don't. RDPS and NAM don't have it, but the NAM 3k does and the HRW literally has snow on all sides of Lee County but stops right around the county lines lol. Are certain models being fed the bad data while others don't have the resolution to pick up on it? Could be the Case. I contacted NOAA via Email. Not heard back. Spoke with NWS and they couldn't give an explanation to why the Snow Data was doing that. They had my Reports and Cocorahs Reports that all showed well above what the NOHRSC Data showed. They couldn't figure where or how they came up with that. I'd say it has to be them just using the Pennington gap Site Data. That's the only thing I can see how they came up with that. Sad. That Site needs moved to a better Location or just shut down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintryMixmaster Posted 42 minutes ago Share Posted 42 minutes ago 16 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Could be the Case. I contacted NOAA via Email. Not heard back. Spoke with NWS and they couldn't give an explanation to why the Snow Data was doing that. They had my Reports and Cocorahs Reports that all showed well above what the NOHRSC Data showed. They couldn't figure where or how they came up with that. I'd say it has to be them just using the Pennington gap Site Data. That's the only thing I can see how they came up with that. Sad. That Site needs moved to a better Location or just shut down. My first thought when I saw the snow hole was that maybe the high res models were overdoing some terrain effect... I didn't realize you were on the Virginia side of the Cumberland Gap, maybe the model just creates some super downslope effect in that area to try and more accurately match the erroneous snowfall totals in that area? I didn't realize the models got fed previous local snowfall data for future forecasts but it makes sense that if the models consistently busted high with respect to the erroneous data, someone would try and tweak the geography or something in the model to make it "more" (though in this case less lol) accurate for that location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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