1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event

[housemtnTN]

4 minutes ago, GBOVolz said:

This is the Euro snow map I took the closeup screenshot of.





.

I would take this any day.

[TellicoWx]

15 minutes ago, John1122 said:

 

I'm an idiot..somehow switched to 0z. My apologies.

 

The 168hr on the 0z looks almost identical to that one.

[Reb]

[John1122]

1 minute ago, TellicoWx said:

I'm an idiot..somehow switched to 0z. My apologies.

That other storm is the one that's going to shaft us next week. But no worries at all or need to be sorry!

[John1122]

I do expect the 12z to cut totals in half on the west side, as it's done for days now.

[BlunderStorm]

Partial 12z model suite. Waiting on the Euro. 

[TellicoWx]

FFC pulling the trigger on WSW over NE GA makes me wonder if MRX is going to add counties to smooth out the southern valley.

[John1122]

The 06z Weather Next/Google AI run was similar to, if not more robust than the 06z Euro.

[John1122]

3 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

FFC pulling the trigger on WSW over NE GA makes me wonder if MRX is going to add counties to smooth out the southern valley.

How similar are the WSW criteria for those areas? I know mine is different than Knox which is different than the southern border counties. I think 2 inches anywhere in their CWA is WSW criteria.

[Reb]

3 minutes ago, John1122 said:

The 06z Weather Next/Google AI run was similar to, if not more robust than the 06z Euro.

12zAIFS bumped totals up from 06z

[GBOVolz]

How does the different percentile change the accumulation map?


.

[tnweathernut]

8 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said:

Partial 12z model suite. Waiting on the Euro. 

It's going to be hard saying we've been RRFS'd.  I always preferred getting NAM'd.  

[John1122]

12z AI Euro beefed up QPF vs 00Z. It be breaking the cycle.

[Reb]

Just now, GBOVolz said:

How does the different percentile change the accumulation map?


.

95th percentile shows greatest totals but only 5% chance

[John1122]

1 minute ago, Reb said:

12zAIFS bumped totals up from 06z

I was just looking at that. It seems to have broken the 18/6, 12/0 cycle.

[Hurricaneguy]

If someone will please post the East TN Weatherbell 12z Euro Kuchera snowfall map when it has ran that would be awesome. TYIA

[Bigbald]

9 minutes ago, John1122 said:

The 06z Weather Next/Google AI run was similar to, if not more robust than the 06z Euro.

Anyway to post a map?

[Stovepipe]

6 minutes ago, John1122 said:

12z AI Euro beefed up QPF vs 00Z. It be breaking the cycle.

[Tucker1027]

[John1122]

3 minutes ago, Bigbald said:

Anyway to post a map?

Courtesy of Bouncycorn. This is a 10:1 so multiply by 1.5 to 2.

 

[GBOVolz]

95th percentile shows greatest totals but only 5% chance

Makes sense. Thanks


.

[Tucker1027]

come on MRX give me a WSW... let me feel something

[Bigbald]

7 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Courtesy of Bouncycorn. This is a 10:1 so multiply by 1.5 to 2.

 

Incredible, thanks!

[dwagner88]

4 minutes ago, Tucker1027 said:

come on MRX give me a WSW... let me feel something

Nah. They go by the NBM. We will be lucky to even get a WWA.

[GBOVolz]

Winter storm warning for Knox County


.

[housemtnTN]

1 minute ago, GBOVolz said:

Winter storm warning for Knox County


.

LETS GO!! REEEEEEEEE!!!

[GBOVolz]

2”-5” across Knox Co


.

[Tucker1027]

[Carvers Gap]

1 hour ago, John1122 said:

Courtesy of Bouncycorn. This is a 10:1 so multiply by 1.5 to 2.

 

With that 10:1...could have bigger amounts?

[GBOVolz]

.