tnwxwatcher Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Me too, I loved watching the weather channel as a kid, my family always thought that it was strange.That was so me too! My family thought I was weird and certainly thought I'd be an on TV weather personality when I grew up. LolJust loved watching the winter weather as a kid and still do! Some things never change! I remember my first little digital thermometer with the long wire attached, running it out a window! I was in heaven! Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Let me throw another wrench into everything. It will be cold. Let's pretend we have a lot of moisture coming and it could be .30". Thats 3" at 10:1. More than likely will be at least 15:1 or maybe 20:1. That sounds great! But, since it's Chattanooga, we will use up 80% of our QPF to saturate the column enough to reach the ground. We'll end up up with a virga storm! That would be our luck. Just keeping it real for Chatty.Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 I agree 100% with Uncle Nasty. Then the trowal will just get going a county east of Chatty. We're left with broken low clouds and a clear view of the virga to the east. Can I paint a more rage inducing picture? I had a crap day at work so I only see negatives! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwoodian Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 When I lived in Charlotte these were the types of storms that modeled for the CLT area then ultimately verified NW towards either side of the apps. I think the last one was 2014 or 2015. Yes 2014 mid Feb was very similar. Plaza Midwood got 8, and family in Knoxville got 6 with late NW flow.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 29 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Imagine that…. Weather next 2.836473838 is delayed again tonight. If you’re bored waiting on the NAM, check out the high end SREF plume for Bristol. That's just a plum great plume ! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 Weather Next was basically a copy and paste of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, Uncle Nasty said: Let me throw another wrench into everything. It will be cold. Let's pretend we have a lot of moisture coming and it could be .30". Thats 3" at 10:1. More than likely will be at least 15:1 or maybe 20:1. That sounds great! But, since it's Chattanooga, we will use up 80% of our QPF to saturate the column enough to reach the ground. We'll end up up with a virga storm! That would be our luck. Just keeping it real for Chatty. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk Throw in some Eastman Bubble for good measure.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 RGEM at 0z is looking good. It continues to show the best solution for most of the forum. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintryMixmaster Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The high res models, though at the end of their ranges, all very much dislike this storm for East Tennessee. RRFS, NAM 3k, HRW FV3, even the NAM to some extent. I don't like that so I'll choose to ignore them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 RGEM starts the snow in ETN around 10 pm on Friday and ends around 8 pm on Saturday except for the mountains where it continues for another couple of hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1-2” back to Nashville, 3-4” plateau, 5-6” around Knox, 6-8+ up in NETN 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 I truly hope the RGEM is handling all the energy over Canada better than other models. It and the Canadian schooled all the American models with this last storm. It went warm nose, ice to rain early and never wavered. The American models were dropping 12+ here at 72-84 hours still. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 The GFS looks like a blend of the RGEM and NAM, which worries me for the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The Canadian looks very similar to the Rgem. Pretty much right on top of each other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintryMixmaster Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 11 minutes ago, John1122 said: The GFS looks like a blend of the RGEM and NAM, which worries me for the RGEM. Canada is trying to get our hopes up with those RGEM+CMC runs. I'd take the 3" from the GFS and run at this point though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 The Canadian was the first to nail the warm nose/ice issues last week because it handled the vort over the arctic that came into Montana and screwed us, before the other models, including the Euro. Now, watch it get this one wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 Not surprisingly at this point, the Euro stepped back from it's 18z run. It's so odd that it's changing the same way every other run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 And by stepped back, I mean for those of us in the screw zone/western edge. It still pounds the far eastern areas with 6-10 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricaneguy Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, John1122 said: And by stepped back, I mean for those of us in the screw zone/western edge. It still pounds the far eastern areas with 6-10 inches. John, how is your gut feeling about Greeneville/Greene Co? Is this finally looking like the storm to give us a solid snowfall? At least 3-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, Hurricaneguy said: John, how is your gut feeling about Greeneville/Greene Co? Is this finally looking like the storm to give us a solid snowfall? At least 3-4” You could have the issues Carvers mentions, but across all modeling you're looking at 4-10+ inches at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neals Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 When the trend is your friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 MRX pulled the trigger and issued a Winter storm Watch for Knoxville East. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Will feel more confident tomorrow, but as of now I'm feeling a 1 to 4 inch feast or famine event across Knox county for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Text for the map above..URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Morristown TN250 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026TNZ016>018-040>047-072-074-087-VAZ002-005-006-008-291815-/O.NEW.KMRX.WS.A.0002.260130T1800Z-260201T0600Z/Hawkins-Sullivan-Johnson-Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-NorthwestCarter-Southeast Carter-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier SmokyMountains-Southeast Monroe-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-Including the cities of South Holston Dam, Elkmont, Mooresburg,Hansonville, Bybee, Abingdon, Rosedale, Benhams, Pardee, Citico,Greeneville, Norton, Big Stone Gap, Hartford, Doeville, ShadyValley, Mountain City, Dye, Hampton, Coker Creek, Limestone Cove,Wise, Hiltons, Kingsport, Gatlinburg, Erwin, Appalachia, Honaker,Unicoi, Newport, Neva, Bristol TN, Laurel Bloomery, Bristol VA,Coeburn, Castlewood, Cedar Creek, Elizabethton, Cades Cove,Trade, Johnson City, and Lebanon250 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATESATURDAY NIGHT...* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 7 inches possible. Winds in the mountains could gust as high as 35 mph.* WHERE...Portions of East Tennessee and southwest Virginia.* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through late Saturday night.* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.&&$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Figures that the western valley counties like Anderson wouldn't be in it. I'd love 1 good snow before spring. Hope there's still some room for a shift. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Great EURO run for the board . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Holy 6z Euro….. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 This 18/6 vs 12/0 Euro thing continues I see. So strange. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BKinLenoirCity Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 I’m a little sad that Loudon county didn’t make it into the wsw. I hope we at least get a few inches. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Holy 6z Euro…..Looks like @John1122 was right again about the 6z and 18z Euro being much different than the 0 And 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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