The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[wxdawg10]

2 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Weathernext or bust for me. It was showing this threat before the Euro had a clue. New run coming in 30 minutes

Is the "king" about to be dethroned by our AI overlords? Maybe just maybe..

[wncsnow]

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

Are u buying that and the Euro more than what the GFS shows? I know its still early but I know its a good thing if you are optimistic 

Its hard to bet against it right now after the last few storms, but the NBM is also promising and having the Canadian on board helps. I have learned that the GFS is often better at getting fine details closer to events but struggles with large scale at longer leads where previously the Euro and now AIFS and weather next seem to shine. 

[wncsnow]

1 hour ago, suzook said:

LMFAO. I'm gonna start the jumping off the cliff thread. Anyone remember what just happened?

We just had one of the biggest sleet storms ever here, avoided a power nightmare, and looking at a low in the single digits. What happened ain't so bad. It was a winter storm for most of NC and SC just not snow. 

[KChuck]

1 hour ago, BooneWX said:

I’ll take that. New set of downs. 1st and 10, approaching midfield.

Careful. We don't want a pick six! 

[BooneWX]

2 minutes ago, KChuck said:

Careful. We don't want a pick six! 

That and hope Bill’s girlfriend isn’t coaching 

[BornAgain13]

I could be wrong but at the end of the NAM, it looked like it was about to go BOOM

[wncsnow]

Things to look for are more west trends with that polar energy, less of a kicker wave behind it to prevent it from digging/going negative tilt, and a stronger southern stream wave (or piece of another Baja low). The Baja taketh and maybe giveth this time?

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Coach McGuirk]

Potential coastal low this weekend.  It will be cold enough. 

[BornAgain13]

This is how I feel about the models tonight 

 

[WarmNoseHater]

it's really going to be something to see how a warm nose works its way into this one, but i won't sell mother nature short in the carolinas

[BooneWX]

Icon is following the NAM (I know), west, with our northern stream. Keep playing around with that look, you’ll drop the wave somewhere around Arkansas and instead of your late bloomer, you get a gulf low 

[BornAgain13]

Icon is a complete whiff.

[DeltaPilot]

I would be happy with half an inch.....but not getting my hopes up.

[Snowncanes]

Icon trended west with the northern stream but Didnt phase and cut off and slid OTS. Kinda weird look at 500mb though. I thought it looked good about hour 50 and then just Didnt phase.

[StantonParkHoya]

Icon is a complete whiff.

Yea. This is the biggest threat to this one. Didn’t even snow on the beach.


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[USCG RS]

2 hours ago, suzook said:

LMFAO. I'm gonna start the jumping off the cliff thread. Anyone remember what just happened?

Don't forget the parachute though.. 

[ADB83]

ICON EPS still throws a similar amount of precip this way, just slightly less. I agree with everyone else, I think we’re all worried about missing to the south. By far the biggest threat here


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[WiseWeather]

Lets reel this on in.


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[ADB83]

AI GFS taking more positive baby steps with QPF


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[BornAgain13]

0z GFS is gonna be better than 18z. Not a big hit but hopefully a step in the right direction.

[ADB83]

0z GFS will be better than 18z especially for western NC


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[BornAgain13]

Edit... GFS letting it rip now... especially in the Carolinas. 

[Snowncanes]

Closes off and goes neutral at hr 117 just slightly west of where it did earlier. Like maybe 30 miles lol. Trend is looking good though.

[neatlburbwthrguy]

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Edit... GFS letting it rip now... especially in the Carolinas. 

Georgia get into the action?

[BornAgain13]

1 minute ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

Georgia get into the action?

0z GFS

[chris624wx]

So close to raking SE VA along with ENC! 

[ADB83]

All I heard last week was trend is your friend. The GFS is trending in the right direction


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