Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 This is why ensemble snow maps are useless for events that require precise phasing . It’s either phases or it dosent and low res models won’t have a clue if the high res ones don’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 We can afford a bit of a south jog from this run lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Hard to get vested in this with models literally changing every other run. I’d pay for 5 inches of snow rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Hard to get vested in this with models literally changing every other run. I’d pay for 5 inches of snow rnI think this is pretty simple but very complex for models. If it phases properly we have a good chance for white paste rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases This is gonna be an interesting test for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Pretty dramatic increase in precip on eps 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I love being the lead overnight meteorologist when no is awake or believes lolAnyway this a a decent shift Till 6z 7 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Ji said: I love being the lead overnight meteorologist when no is awake or believes lol Anyway this a a decent shift Till 6z How did the AIFS look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 How did the AIFS look?Not as bad as you think 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Not as bad as you think Pretty wet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Pretty wet And very snowy 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 My God, Ji leading us to the promise land while everyone is asleep. Quite surprised at the shifts here. Phase baby! 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Now I know why I woke up at 2:50 and couldn't get back to sleep...weenie alarm clock. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 GFS remains a consistent no go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Duca892 said: GFS remains a consistent pos Fixed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Funny thing about this possible wet snow is usually id prefer it to hang around a bit but I've gotten my fill on snowpack this year so im ok if this just snows hard then melts the next day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Artificial intelligence keeps shifting north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Artificial intelligence keeps shifting north Eps snowfall was disappointing, so there was a lot of warmth in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Euro is too amped and inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Also the 50 50 low in a way different position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Also the 50 50 low in a way different position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Too far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Also the 50 50 low in a way different position Going to take a few days to get that in the right spot I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 If you like rain the 6z euro is choice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Eps 6z vs 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Eps 6z vs 0zEuro off runs are whacky. I’d wait till 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 There maybe some hope yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6z euro is way too inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Maybe cape can answer this but is the phasing on the euro affecting the movement of tpvMaybe we just want an unphased bowling ball that’s more northerly like Canadian has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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