February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[Ji]

This is why ensemble snow maps are useless for events that require precise phasing . It’s either phases or it dosent and low res models won’t have a clue if the high res ones don’t

[Ji]

We can afford a bit of a south jog from this run lol

[stormtracker]

Hard to get vested in this with models literally changing every other run. I’d pay for 5 inches of snow rn

[Ji]

Hard to get vested in this with models literally changing every other run. I’d pay for 5 inches of snow rn

I think this is pretty simple but very complex for models. If it phases properly we have a good chance for white paste rain

[Ji]

Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases

This is gonna be an interesting test for them.

[Ji]

Pretty dramatic increase in precip on eps

[Ji]

I love being the lead overnight meteorologist when no is awake or believes lol

Anyway this a a decent shift

Till 6z

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Ji said:

I love being the lead overnight meteorologist when no is awake or believes lol

Anyway this a a decent shift

Till 6z

How did the AIFS look?

[Ji]

How did the AIFS look?

Not as bad as you think

[Ji]

Not as bad as you think

Pretty wet

[Ji]

Pretty wet

And very snowy

[LeesburgWx]

My God, Ji leading us to the promise land while everyone is asleep. Quite surprised at the shifts here. Phase baby!

[mitchnick]

Now I know why I woke up at 2:50 and couldn't get back to sleep...weenie alarm clock.

[Duca892]

GFS remains a consistent no go 

[mitchnick]

Just now, Duca892 said:

GFS remains a consistent pos

Fixed

[aldie 22]

Funny thing about this possible wet snow is usually id prefer it to hang around a bit but I've gotten my fill on snowpack this year so im ok if this just snows hard then melts the next day

[Ji]

Artificial intelligence keeps shifting north

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Artificial intelligence keeps shifting north

Eps snowfall was disappointing, so there was a lot of warmth in them.

[Ji]

Euro is too amped and inland

[Ji]

Also the 50 50 low in a way different position

[Ji]

Also the 50 50 low in a way different position

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Too far away.

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

Also the 50 50 low in a way different position

Going to take a few days to get that in the right spot I think.

[Paleocene]

If you like rain the 6z euro is choice 

[mitchnick]

Eps 6z vs 0z

[Ji]

Eps 6z vs 0z

Euro off runs are whacky. I’d wait till 12z

[soadforecasterx]

There maybe some hope yet 

[Ji]

6z euro is way too inland

[Ji]

Maybe cape can answer this but is the phasing on the euro affecting the movement of tpv

Maybe we just want an unphased bowling ball that’s more northerly like Canadian has