Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Interstate said: RGEM is nice Let’s see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 May the colder and weaker primary trend continue 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GFS looks rock steady through 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 What the local TV is saying at 430 am for the immediate DC area: Channel 4: in the 6-12 band Channel 5: in the 6-12 band Channel 7: NAM 8, GFS 13 Channel 9: will depend on how much mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, arlwx12 said: What the local TV is saying at 430 am for the immediate DC area: Channel 4: in the 6-12 band Channel 5: in the 6-12 band Channel 7: NAM 8, GFS 13 Channel 9: will depend on how much mixing I expect that, gives them room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Rgem 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 6Z GFS Sunday 4am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Snow in region at 45: looking about same as 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Room also in LWX's forecast for DCA: Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 17. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Sunday Snow, freezing rain, and sleet. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 10pm, then snow and freezing rain between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of snow after 4am. Low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of around an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Rgem Wow! Big improvement. Hopefully the models are picking up on the power of this cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Money frames inbound at 51 and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 10 am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Getting rocked at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 4 pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Still getting rocked at 60, freezing line around Fredericksburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 7 pm Smoke show up here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 About the best run we could ask for and still more to come as we flip back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Rgem 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Solution Man said: About the best run we could ask for and still more to come as we flip back Man.. I hope that backside works out. Light to moderate snow Sunday night would be pure powder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 6Z GFS....another solid run!!! 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Gfs smoke show 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 D.C. goes from 11.9 to 13.2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 11 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Rgem That does look like an improvement over 00z to my untrained eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Smoke show up here Gfs has slowly shifted some towards other guidance if you account for the fact it can’t see mid level warm layers and adjust the snow/ice line 20-30 miles NW like you have to. Then it looks identical to the euro and rgem. The warmest guidance shifted colder. The coldest shifted warmer and they ended up converging on about what the euro has shown the last 24 hours. Shocking. 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs has slowly shifted some towards other guidance if you account for the fact it can’t see mid level warm layers and adjust the snow/ice line 20-30 miles NW like you have to. Then it looks identical to the euro and rgem. The warmest guidance shifted colder. The coldest shifted warmer and they ended up converging on about what the euro has shown the last 24 hours. Shocking. Looks pretty dang cold to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: That does look like an improvement over 00z to my untrained eye A shit ton of that accumulation along 95 is sleet. Like 3” of sleet! 6z brings in this ridiculous band and dumps close to an inch of qpf midday Sunday most of which is sleet but hey that counts! It also did beef up the snow before the flip by 1-3”. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Mt Holly only mentions snow and freezing rain in the forecast for here- no mention of sleet. Maybe they are taking the Euro verbatim with its freezing rain output. GFS has more significant sleet and less amounts of zr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just catching up. So the gfs didn’t fully cave, but pretty much all guidance met in the middle. I’d cut gfs accums by 75% though to account for ip/zr. That gets us to 6-10 for dc/balt metros, with a foot being in play for NW suburbs (1-2 counties off from I-95 and north of 50) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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