January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[Louise]

27 minutes ago, WiseWeather said:

Check please.


.

Please no freezing rain just west of Raleigh!!

[BornAgain13]

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

UK is ugly, mix well into Virginia and major ice in NC. Similar to CMC

Still quite the Snow Storm before the changeover to sleet. 

[wncsnow]

9 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

00z GEFS is going to be an insane mean, seems to be running a tad colder, more moisture and totals are bumping up even more than 18z. Going to be amazing for many.

Its trending north though 

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

Still quite the Snow Storm before the changeover to sleet. 

Yes, you’re in a great spot. I am more posting for the Carolina’s posters, this to me has Virginia written all over it for the bullseye

[WXNewton]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Its trending north though 

Best mean so far on GEFS, colder this run and heavier moisture, not sure a see much of a trend north, just stronger storm this run. With a look like this we can't ask for more.

[kvegas-wx]

Just now, Thrasher Fan said:

Some of these models are not handling the HP blocking all that well in this stage of the game...

Thats because they haven't seen it in a decade or so.  Its like a GenXer in a Def Leppard t-shirt showing up to an EDM rave in the middle of an Ummet Ozcan mix set.  Its going to look a little awkward!  That blocking is LEGIT!

[Louise]

3 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Best mean so far on GEFS, colder this run and heavier moisture, not sure a see much of a trend north, just stronger storm this run. With a look like this we can't ask for more.

Stop trending north

[WXNewton]

00z GEFS snow depth mean. 

[NorthHillsWx]

The clock just turned to Tuesday. This storm doesn’t really start for most until Saturday. There are 10 million things that can and will change. I feel like we’re a couple days out but we still have most of a week lol

[JoshM]

I'll order a snow shovel and a chainsaw... I think the latter might be needed more IMBY

[BornAgain13]

Snowmap is broke on the UK lol

[JoshM]

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

Snowmap is broke on the UK lol

No, just too obscene for their site. Gotta verify you're over 18 

[WXNewton]

00z AI GFS is slightly further south than previous run, heavier moisture and a tad colder, looks to be a significant winter storm.

[Thrasher Fan]

7 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Snowmap is broke on the UK lol

Winter cancelled. lol

[NorthHillsWx]

3 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

00z AI GFS is slightly further south than previous run, heavier moisture and a tad colder, looks to be a significant winter storm.

Falling in line with other guidance. Major mix storm for NC and major snow in Virginia 

[wncsnow]

16 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Best mean so far on GEFS, colder this run and heavier moisture, not sure a see much of a trend north, just stronger storm this run. With a look like this we can't ask for more.

A lot of that is sleet and ZR south of 40 

[Thrasher Fan]

time for the king

[NorthHillsWx]

This is the rare setup where someone could get 6+” of sleet. Models showing surface maps in the low 20’s with 850s torching and 925 around freezing over a large area. Once again a lot will change but someone could get a legendary sleet bomb based off what I’ve seen. Chance for a new ice age next week with southern glaciers if this pans out

[WXNewton]

5 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

A lot of that is sleet and ZR south of 40 

Even if it is some sleet and zr, I am speaking for the fact that the severity of the situation is increasing the totals of something frozen when compared to the previous run. I am not just focusing on snow, I think it's important to see that moisture output is increasing while temps remain steady in the low 20s or teens and that this is becoming more likely a potentially dangerous storm. As modeled something we haven't seen in many years.

[Thrasher Fan]

Euro AI further south

[lilj4425]

5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This is the rare setup where someone could get 6+” of sleet. Models showing surface maps in the low 20’s with 850s torching and 925 around freezing over a large area. Once again a lot will change but someone could get a legendary sleet bomb based off what I’ve seen. Chance for a new ice age next week with southern glaciers if this pans out

Crazy that we can’t get snow with temps in the low 20’s. Why doesn’t anywhere else have this issue?

[wncsnow]

Euro AI THROWS a curveball with a flatter look. 

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Euro AI THROWS a curveball with a flatter look. 

Surface temps in the teens at the height of the event here lol

[NorthHillsWx]

5 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Even if it is some sleet and zr, I am speaking for the fact that the severity of the situation is increasing the totals of something frozen when compared to the previous run. I am not just focusing on snow, I think it's important to see that moisture output is increasing while temps remain steady in the low 20s or teens and that this is becoming more likely a potentially dangerous storm. As modeled something we haven't seen in many years.

Yep, 1” QPF frozen whether it be IP or SN is a crippling winter storm. Could be a foot of snow or 4” of IP it will shut down travel the same. That’s why SPC uses frozen/freezing QPF in their outlook maps for winter storms 

[WXNewton]

5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Surface temps in the teens at the height of the event here lol

Plenty of moisture too, most of the storm my backyard is between 17-22 degrees, with nearly an 1.5" QPF being modeled.

[WXNewton]

00z Euro AI temps through out the heart of the precip.

[JoshM]

from MA forum

[wncsnow]

2 minutes ago, JoshM said:

from MA forum

Yes it's bedtime or am I dreaming? 

[Duncana]

3 minutes ago, JoshM said:

from MA forum

Damn thats insane!!!

[JoshM]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Yes it's bedtime or am I dreaming? 

I feel like this storm has a setting for insanity and we keep turning it up a notch.