Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[Coach McGuirk]

8 minutes ago, Jmoon said:

Your going to get another snow most likely.

Hope so, if not it looks like 3 chances for snow or ice to end January. 

[WiseWeather]

Where are you snowstorm?? I cannot find you…. I live in the foothillsssss….

Just sing that in your best Cindy Lou voice.


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[Coach McGuirk]

2 minutes ago, WiseWeather said:

Where are you snowstorm?? I cannot find you…. I live in the foothillsssss….

Just sing that in your best Cindy Lou voice.


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Time travel to March 1993. 

[NorthHillsWx]

6z GFS is a beaut for central/eastern NC

[strongwxnc]

UKMET is aggressive.


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[NorthHillsWx]

GFS is 2-4” from triad through triangle then 4-8” in the coastal plain with no mixing pretty much anywhere aka a pretty sweet storm as shown 

[NorthHillsWx]

GFS brings back the storm signal in that 9-10 day range we’ve seen  

[gamecockinupstateSC]

[BornAgain13]

Sunday has legs! Let's keep the trends going today yall!

[WiseWeather]

Sunday has legs! Let's keep the trends going today yall!

NW trend is our friend…. NW trend is our friend… NW trend is our friend.


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[BooneWX]

Went to bed early and missed the excitement. I’m politely requesting a nw trend. 

[gamecockinupstateSC]

Euro with another coastal hit. NW trend apparent, though.  Energy continues to back more SW.  If this turns into a rain event, ugh. 

[NorthHillsWx]

EPS uptick at 6z was pretty drastic! Very good look this morning 

[BornAgain13]

12z will be interesting!!

[NorthHillsWx]

RAH pretty aggressive for that office:

00z GFS and ECMWF depict
a more vigorous shortwave that swings across the Southeast US and
Carolinas on Sunday, with a surface cyclone that develops off the
coast of the Carolinas and moves NE. With very cold temperatures
aloft by this point (and Sunday`s surface temperatures staying in
the 30s at least based on the latest raw guidance), any
precipitation that falls over central NC is likely to be snow, but
the question is how much precipitation (if any) we actually receive.
The GFS is sharper with the trough aloft compared to the ECMWF,
resulting in snow across a larger portion of the area compared to
the ECMWF which is more focused in the east. Regardless, considering
nearly half of ECMWF ensembles and over half of GFS ensembles depict
accumulating snow across the area, it bears watching. WPC QPF is
light at this time but could increase if models converge on a
surface low track closer to the coast.

[neatlburbwthrguy]

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

12z will be interesting!!

How is north ga looking?  I can’t see any maps.  

[NorthHillsWx]

6z Euro ticked up significantly but Is still a coastal hit, mostly. I think we can call this a trend without a doubt at this point 

[BooneWX]

At this point, small changes west or east with the shortwave are going to have major downstream implications 

[wncsnow]

I think we are a bridge too far here in the foothills. We still have time but need significant shifts

[BornAgain13]

U can see the significant shift in the vort at 6z compared to 0z on the GFS. It went neutral a lot quicker and got rid of the positive tilt quicker. Does this continue? Or go back the other way? We will see. 

[BooneWX]

For western NC, the day 7-8 timeframe is of interest. And it has been for days on many models. 

[WNC_Fort]

Random vent moment. I’m getting tired of Mets in Charlotte, Greensboro, and Asheville acting like people here are crazy for wanting or expecting snow.

Yes, we’re not Buffalo New York but untl a couple years ago, Charlotte never went a year without seeing at least *some* snow. Even more so when you go west and north of there. It is an expectation. The changing climate is obviously not helping but Mets acting like the public is crazy for expecting it is bothering me.

[suzook]

48 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

How is north ga looking?  I can’t see any maps.  

At this point not good

[NorthHillsWx]

3 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

Random vent moment. I’m getting tired of Mets in Charlotte, Greensboro, and Asheville acting like people here are crazy for wanting or expecting snow.

Yes, we’re not Buffalo New York but untl a couple years ago, Charlotte never went a year without seeing at least *some* snow. Even more so when you go west and north of there. It is an expectation. The changing climate is obviously not helping but Mets acting like the public is crazy for expecting it is bothering me.

This checks out. Our local Mets in Triangle downplay every storm until it starts snowing (smart) but even they talk about snow droughts and the long one we ended last year as being far from the norm. Acting like Charlotte and Asheville are Columbia South Carolina doesn’t make it correct from a climo standpoint

[eyewall]

[BooneWX]

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[NorthHillsWx]

14 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

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If Raleigh gets a 6” storm this year I promise we’ll send everything else your way the rest of the the season 

[NorthHillsWx]

It’s the extreme range NAM but it was very similar to the 6z Euro. Looked like it was about to go boom if it went out 6 more hours.

[BornAgain13]

Fwiw, Eric Webb says he thinks this becomes an overrunning event. Said its January 2014 like...

[BooneWX]

RGEM starting off hot at 12z. Substantial tick west.