BooneWX Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago Major improvements on the gfs for system 2. Sheesh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago GFS pops a low and light wintry precip for Sunday into Monday. We get neutral tilt on the Alabama/Georgia line this run. Very very different look in a good way for 12z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago Man that GFS run….. if we take a tick or two further southwest and it would’ve been an absolute weenie run. It looked similar to last night’s Ukie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Major improvements on the gfs for system 2. Sheesh. A really fascinating ULL evolution. Energy diving over the plains, stalls out and stretches, lobe breaks off and dives south. Not something you see too often. The fast flow and dominant Northern stream limits the ceiling on this event, but if everything goes just right it's a good set up for the best kind of storm: cold temps, heavy snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago It’s amazing how just subtle digs south and west have outsized impacts with regards to the second system. That GFS run was so close to a decent system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Model spread six days out is pretty wild. Basically there's two camps, energy breaks free from primarily trough (GFS, ICON, UKMET) and everything else that keeps the upper level energy consolidated to our North 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 18 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Man that GFS run….. if we take a tick or two further southwest and it would’ve been an absolute weenie run. It looked similar to last night’s Ukie. I’ll take that surface setup on the GFS for Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago UK with another solid run. Why is it doing this to us? Lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: UK with another solid run. Why is it doing this to us? Lol A step backwards with a weaker wave though. It looks nice at the surface anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago The weekend is definitely looking more interesting. That was still a potent shrtwave on the UK. Euro should be interesting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamecockinupstateSC Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago UKMET with two consecutive runs showing hit. Output looks good. We hug! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Both are good for different reasons but the key being they’re hilariously different at h5 with how they handle the energy (gfs and Ukie) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Euro run will be interesting. Does it favor one look over the other or will it have its own island real estate as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I think we need to resolve this cluster-**** before we can even begin to resolve the evolution of our potential Sunday system 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Tantalizing…. We are so so close to a big dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Paints a good set up on the UKMET at 12 for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago Euro is further west from 0z on the second system at least through 90hrs. Energy dropping in from Montana to the plains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago This is going to be another step in the right direction. It’s not enough, but it went towards other guidance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago And... Euro says nada! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The Euro does do something... it brings the COLD weather for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12z EURO does bring a Winter Storm around the 24th/25th time frame but that's way out there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago My main takeaway from the Euro is it does little to add clarity to the Sunday storm. It, the GFS and the UKMET all look way different from each other. Again, once we get to around mid-week we should get a clearer picture with all the energy flying around 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Verbatim, Euro has a brutal cold wave that would make December’s cold look like springtime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Ensembles are trending colder too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 thing is for sure y'all, the cold is coming!! Thats what we need in place first and then let's get that southern stream active. Im pretty optimistic about the rest of Jan and going into February. Even if we dont score this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago With the cold nearby for weeks, surely some of us will score eventually, even if its a minor event 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: With the cold nearby for weeks, surely some of us will score eventually, even if its a minor event Right, I'm thinking minor threats and then as the cold eventually collapses an overrunning threat. Not super optimistic on Sunday for anything significant with the way the first system trended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Ensembles are trending colder too Not sure this is a good thing imo. If we don’t get a 50/50 low or some blocking established, it’s going to be tough sledding with a lot of northern stream energy and little to slow it down and give it time to dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Ensembles are trending colder too Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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