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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

I def think this run will be "worse" (less deep trough and slightly more positive tilt) but grand scheme of things nothing major has changed. 

18z

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12z

1768467600-SzuWBG0O1Dg.png

Meh - think that extra dig isn’t insignificant for a lot of us but it’s the kind of thing we won’t figure out at this range anyway so not worth worrying about. 
 

mostly just want to see the EURO show anything substantial. Like even 2” would be nice 

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Just now, bncho said:

It was an asshair of a change upstream but it changed a lot downstream. Goes to show you how volatile this system is.

Tbh there is so much interaction going on upstairs that I think the only thing we can look for is the setup staying relatively the same (and other models moving towards GFS) and then seeing which way it might actually go within 48 hours of the event as everything is in motion. 

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