Ecanem Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Guys. Has anyone looked at the 10 day temps. It’s not warming up. This snow is going nowhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12z GFS looks like it starts a clipper train after this one wraps up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Still only 7 at the airport, so staying a little colder so far. That's gotta help even a little bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... A major winter storm is expected to impact the region late this evening through early Monday morning. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect across the area due to the potential for historic snowfall totals ranging from 9 to 15 inches. With cold air firmly in place early this morning into the afternoon-- temperatures in the single digits--confidence is high that precipitation will begin as snow and remain dry, with snow ratios near 18:1 through early Sunday morning. As the system approaches, light to moderate snowfall is expected to develop south of I-70 between 8pm and midnight tonight. Farther north, including areas near and north of Pittsburgh, light to moderate snow will likely begin between midnight and 4am Sunday. As frontogenesis strengthens ahead of a robust low-level jet near daybreak Sunday, with 850mb winds of 60-70kt from the southwest, snowfall rates are expected to increase across portions of the area as snow bands develop. High-resolution guidance shows increasing probabilities of 1 to 1.5 inches per hour snowfall rates with this synoptic feature, persisting into late Sunday night as the surface low tracks into western Pennsylvania. Travel between 10am Sunday to 10pm Sunday will likely be very difficult to impossible across the region. Areas north of I-70 are expected to remain predominantly snow throughout the duration of the storm. However, locations southeast of Pittsburgh, including Preston, Tucker, and Fayette counties, will likely experience a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain, resulting in periods of ice accumulation atop existing snow. The combination of heavy snow and ice may lead to power outages and down tree branches in this region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Latest map: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 McCarthy…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 My father-in-law gave me his 24 inch snow blower a few years ago and I have never used it. Just got it cranked up and ready. Also put out yardstick to measure. If we don't get 12 + blame me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 11 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: McCarthy…. Nobody wanted him and yet here we are. Hanging on to the hope that we can bring Rodgers back and go 10-7 again next year and get eliminated first round. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 11 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: McCarthy…. Safe choice. Was pulling for Shula. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, SteelCity87 said: Nobody wanted him and yet here we are. Hanging in to the hope that we can bring Rodgers back and go 10-7 again next year and get eliminated first round. Pathetic. Yep. Can't believe they hired him Disappointed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 But at least that NWS discussion still says north of I-70 should be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Oh my oh my oh my… that would be an absolute treat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 18z Hrrr shows AGC 18+ no mix Just se into Laurels 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 26 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: McCarthy…. Fuckin hell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 In better news, the models still look great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 18z Hrrr shows AGC 18+ no mix Just se into Laurels Very much in line with the NWS latest discussion that @Mailman posted. Good to see some support for that solution. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Here is where NAM has mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Very much in line with the NWS latest discussion that @Mailman posted. Good to see some support for that solution. . They even added an inch to the wording Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 McCarthy hire so we have to do this all over in 2-3 years. Just rip the band aid off and rebuild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Radar and models look awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecanem Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Latest NAM 3k pushes sleet a little south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 NAM is fine. Both models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, SteelCity87 said: They even added an inch to the wording My point and click still shows about 4 hours of mix. I hope that is updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 17 minutes ago, dj3 said: McCarthy hire so we have to do this all over in 2-3 years. Just rip the band aid off and rebuild. It's what the Pats did and they're already back. Frustrating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I wish there was more wiggle room on the models but 17 and 19 look pretty enticing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, colonel717 said: My point and click still shows about 4 hours of mix. I hope that is updated. I know they updated chances of 12" in the area from earlier this morning. Pittsburgh is at 57% now. Bethel Park high end has been upped to 18" with expected of 13". Good trends all around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 My point and click still shows about 4 hours of mix. I hope that is updated. I checked their hourly graphic on this. Even thought the point and click says it, it is listed as “slight chance” on the hourly. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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