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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26


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Funny how people quickly forget about this beauty in Dec 2020. Before that it was 11” in 3.2018. So we have a had a couple “foot type” storms since 2010.

But that tells me if you want to engrain this in memories, we probably need to be up over a foot officially, with 15” reports around. 
 

image.thumb.png.7cfc9ca6bcadfb2fb9f2f5cf23bf5435.png

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3 minutes ago, colonel717 said:

Also if it's real it's towards end of storm not early on. Also hope it's sleet and not frz rain. 

It's also the NAM. Even the 3k NAM isnt infallible. Just gotta see how the primary plays out.

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Funny how people quickly forget about this beauty in Dec 2020. Before that it was 11” in 3.2018. So we have a had a couple “foot type” storms since 2010.
But that tells me if you want to engrain this in memories, we probably need to be up over a foot officially, with 15” reports around. 
 
image.thumb.png.7cfc9ca6bcadfb2fb9f2f5cf23bf5435.png

I remember this one. I measured 10.3. My measurement is included in that report. That was also a fun one.


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3 minutes ago, TimB said:

The <12” contour sneaks into the south hills. It previously was never anywhere in Allegheny county.

I’m not sure I’d worry too much about the 4th or 5th best model knocking an inch or two off. Might be on to something but it’s not like it suddenly changed its solution entirely 

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FWIW - 00z HRRR hr 3 placed the warm nose at the 850 level around the middle of kentucky. 

 

Currently on the mesoanalysis, the 850 warm nose is sitting in southern kentucky and well below what was modeled by the HRRR. Not sure this matters in the long run, but an observation none the less. 

 

I'm also just looking for reasons to continue to stay 100% sure that I am cashing in on my 14" bet

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3 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

It is funny that the radar is filling in around Pittsburgh.  Seems to always do that though.

It’s because it’s all Virga and the radar is catching snow aloft further away from the site (due to the earths curve it’s basically catching the atmosphere higher)

I think it fills in as the it gets closer to the ground around the site 

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7 minutes ago, SteelCity87 said:

Point and click ticked up substantially - fwiw

Screenshot_20260124-224733.png

I always assume with the point and click that you can’t just add the high numbers together. I think timing is a factor. In other words, if u got 4” in the first part of the period, you may have already taken a few inches from the second. Nonetheless - I’d take that forecast any day!

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