Rd9108 Posted December 3 Share Posted December 3 14 hours ago, TimB said: The streak continues… Dammit now we have to hear about how its never gonna snow again until it snows again.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted Thursday at 11:14 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:14 AM 18 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Dammit now we have to hear about how its never gonna snow again until it snows again.... No one, including myself is complaining about a solid advisory level event on the second day of meteorological winter to kick off the season. We’ll still have our chances this season to break the streak, hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted Thursday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:06 PM Heard on the radio that we could set a daily record low tonight. Granted the record (12) is easily the softest December record on the books, as the 5th is the only day that has never reached single digits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM Well if you wanna get excited about a possibly very winter like pattern look no further than the MJO plots. Not too often you see the MJO basically just stuck in P8 for a month ++ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted Friday at 01:00 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:00 AM 6 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Well if you wanna get excited about a possibly very winter like pattern look no further than the MJO plots. Not too often you see the MJO basically just stuck in P8 for a month ++ Yesssssssssss best news ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Friday at 02:37 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:37 AM 8 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Well if you wanna get excited about a possibly very winter like pattern look no further than the MJO plots. Not too often you see the MJO basically just stuck in P8 for a month ++ 8, 1, and 2 are all good ones right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Friday at 12:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:37 PM 9 hours ago, Ahoff said: 8, 1, and 2 are all good ones right? Usually yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Friday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:47 PM Let's hope the MJO loses its MOJO as we head into deep winter, and dumps all of its load in December a la 1989-1990. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted Friday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:03 PM Clipper time incoming? Not mad about that. They usually overperform around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Saturday at 01:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:40 PM 21 hours ago, Mailman said: Clipper time incoming? Not mad about that. They usually overperform around here. For tomorrow? Are we actually getting something? I thought it was heading into Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Some flizzard yesterday, but now it's looking like the next discrete event is Saturday into Sunday. Evolution looks pretty similar to the one on the 2nd. Another quick hitting 2-4" event. Initially, it looks a little colder than the last system, so perhaps there's less concern for mixing in the southern areas. Fairly decent agreement amongst the major models for a synoptic event at this range, though. The smaller details will have to get worked out later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Tomorrow. Will 100% be nowcasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Tomorrow. Will 100% be nowcasting Mid 30s sfc temps should preclude much if any accumulation regardless of p-type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 1 hour ago, TimB said: Mid 30s sfc temps should preclude much if any accumulation regardless of p-type. Your probably right for the most part, but it was 11 degrees here this morning, then clouds moved in before any real sun could warm surfaces up. If we get a thump in the early morning hours, even if temps are marginal, it should have no problem accumulating especially on any subfreezing surfaces. Looks like more shots at some snow this weekend. Hopefully we can score a couple more events in the next 10 days, as it looks like the pattern is going to break down around Christmas. Who knows if it will actually happen that way or for how long, but ensembles are coming into agreement some sort of relaxation may be on the way. NWS seems to be biting onto this possibility as well. Confidence is increasing in a several day period where we have high temperatures some 15-20 degrees below average in the cP airmass through the weekend with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens or single digits. Cold air being entrenched across the region means any additional disturbances are likely to produce snow as the prevailing precip type areawide. While the overall pattern appears messy and ensembles are clearly struggling to agree on timing and intensity of any given wave, confidence is increase in at least one more shot at snowfall over the weekend before long term guidance finally has the eastern Canadian longwave trough breaking down. Stay tuned for more details as we get closer and confidence increases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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