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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread


John1122
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Hello guys. Somewhat new to the forum. Live in west tennessee. Its going to pretty cold Sunday. Interesting pattern so far. I'm somewhat intrigued in the pdo, which has risen somewhat the last few weeks

Welcome to the board fellow golfer


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15 minutes ago, Golf757075 said:

Hello guys. Somewhat new to the forum. Live in west tennessee. Its going to pretty cold Sunday. Interesting pattern so far. I'm somewhat intrigued in the pdo, which has risen somewhat the last few weeks

Welcome.  Good to have you!

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Hello guys. Somewhat new to the forum. Live in west tennessee. Its going to pretty cold Sunday. Interesting pattern so far. I'm somewhat intrigued in the pdo, which has risen somewhat the last few weeks

Welcome! I’ve been here for a few years and everyone on here is kind and I have learned so much from them. Definitely my go to and I think you like it here!! Now we all need to do a snow dance for the Knoxville Tennessee area lol.


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3 hours ago, Golf757075 said:

Hello guys. Somewhat new to the forum. Live in west tennessee. Its going to pretty cold Sunday. Interesting pattern so far. I'm somewhat intrigued in the pdo, which has risen somewhat the last few weeks

Welcome.  Glad you found us….  Stay warm this weekend!  No golf for me until it warms up.  

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3 hours ago, Golf757075 said:

Hello guys. Somewhat new to the forum. Live in west tennessee. Its going to pretty cold Sunday. Interesting pattern so far. I'm somewhat intrigued in the pdo, which has risen somewhat the last few weeks

Welcome to the board.  Tell us more about the PDO going up.  I haven't even looked at it lately!  

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50 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Welcome to the board.  Tell us more about the PDO going up.  I haven't even looked at it lately!  

The WCS does a daily PDO number compared to CPC, which only does a monthly reading. Its been extremely negative, but has risen pretty good

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Interestingly, several overnight runs found another cold front(strong on Euro) right around the 20th.  It sure looks like another front is gonna roll through on the 26th.  So, maybe this won't be a full on torch?  IDK.  Modeling today and tomorrow should either erode the warmth or lock it in after the 20th.

Last night is a good example of what cold fronts can do during winter, and how modeling can indeed miss.  Congratulations to @Holston_River_Ramblerfor going with the thread!!!

Sunday looks like the next chance for a sneaky system.  I gotta be honest...I wouldn't mind a few warm morning to run.  I am gonna need moderation after Sunday/Monday.

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1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

 

Interestingly, several overnight runs found another cold front(strong on Euro) right around the 20th.  It sure looks like another front is gonna roll through on the 26th.  So, maybe this won't be a full on torch?  IDK.  Modeling today and tomorrow should either erode the warmth or lock it in after the 20th.

Last night is a good example of what cold fronts can do during winter, and how modeling can indeed miss.  Congratulations to @Holston_River_Ramblerfor going with the thread!!!

Sunday looks like the next chance for a sneaky system.  I gotta be honest...I wouldn't mind a few warm morning to run.  I am gonna need moderation after Sunday/Monday.

The RMM charts are misleading sometimes. The mjo may have been in phase 8 for a little while. I hope it don't stay there for too long in warmer phases and we get what we need to see to get a better pattern after the warm up. 

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1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

 

Interestingly, several overnight runs found another cold front(strong on Euro) right around the 20th.  It sure looks like another front is gonna roll through on the 26th.  So, maybe this won't be a full on torch?  IDK.  Modeling today and tomorrow should either erode the warmth or lock it in after the 20th.

Last night is a good example of what cold fronts can do during winter, and how modeling can indeed miss.  Congratulations to @Holston_River_Ramblerfor going with the thread!!!

Sunday looks like the next chance for a sneaky system.  I gotta be honest...I wouldn't mind a few warm morning to run.  I am gonna need moderation after Sunday/Monday.

I think the strength and staying power(duration) you mentioned Yesterday may be a strong Indicator irt whether we have a great Winter or not as you mentioned Yesterday. Historical backing.

Even '95-96 had a mild stretch mid December before going cold by Christmas. 89-90 had extreme cold the entire Month rhat flipped the last Day to a long mild period and stayed mild overall. The great '70's Winter's as example here, featured a couple mild periods of between 1-3 Days , and those weren't very mild at that ! I remember January of '78 the only one in Pennington that Month and it was one Day. 38 for the High !

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9 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

I think the strength and staying power(duration) you mentioned Yesterday may be a strong Indicator irt whether we have a great Winter or not as you mentioned Yesterday. Historical backing.

Even '95-96 had a mild stretch mid December before going cold by Christmas. 89-90 had extreme cold the entire Month rhat flipped the last Day to a long mild period and stayed mild overall. The great '70's Winter's as example here, featured a couple mild periods of between 1-3 Days , and those weren't very mild at that ! I remember January of '78 the only one in Pennington that Month and it was one Day. 38 for the High !

We definitely need a reshuffle of the current pattern and hope we get one that better supports cold and snow. Once in January, time goes by really fast lol

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