RocketWX Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Here is the latest NBM run. Still throwing out hefty totals for pretty much everyone here. Not shocking since models have yet to back down on totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 50 minutes ago, StormChazer said: 12Z NAM Man that cutoff is getting dangerously close to me here. Though it seems the NAM is the outlier here. But 8 times out of 10 I have noticed the WAA or dry slot kills it on the day of it seems. I think the year before last was a great example of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12Z GFS running and seems really similar to last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 46 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said: Man that cutoff is getting dangerously close to me here. Though it seems the NAM is the outlier here. But 8 times out of 10 I have noticed the WAA or dry slot kills it on the day of it seems. I think the year before last was a great example of it. Luckily, this type of setup doesn't really give us a dry slot issue, so that's good news. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Little rock warning leaves open the possibility of some sleet contamination for northern arkansas. Not sure its going to be a big deal, but definitely something to watch as we get closer. SGF upgraded and also leaves open the possibility of some sleet in their southern most counties. Seems like the NWS is really buying the stronger warm nose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12 Euro AIFS isn't too different from the 00z run. Maybe just a hair farther north with highest snow precip amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, JoMo said: 12 Euro AIFS isn't too different from the 00z run. Maybe just a hair farther north with highest snow precip amounts. Even the 10:1 ratio map looks awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Its wild to me that so many models are still kicking out roughly 1" of QPF and were only 36 hours out from onset. I really thought those would start to come down, but so far, QPF is really holding steady. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z Euro is pushing the 700 MB warm nose farther north up into most of Arkansas this run. Excellent run for Tulsa and much of OK this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 36 hours out from the onset of the bulk of this storm and the Euro is still pumping out these numbers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Tulsa becoming more generous on the DSP page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'm pulling for you guys to my south. Best of luck to all of you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted 9 minutes ago Share Posted 9 minutes ago This is the HRRR, second wave hasn't even happened yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago NWS STL finally getting fully onboard.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago 1:32 PM Official forecast hazardous outlook graphic shows 7-14" with areas of 8-15" in nearly every part of SGF's territory. Now time for the 18z NAM to screw it up somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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