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MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion


stormdragonwx
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50 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

12Z NAM

 

1769364000-W29DNj7hbYI.png

Man that cutoff is getting dangerously close to me here. Though it seems the NAM is the outlier here. But 8 times out of 10 I have noticed the WAA or dry slot kills it on the day of it seems. I think the year before last was a great example of it.

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46 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said:

Man that cutoff is getting dangerously close to me here. Though it seems the NAM is the outlier here. But 8 times out of 10 I have noticed the WAA or dry slot kills it on the day of it seems. I think the year before last was a great example of it.

Luckily, this type of setup doesn't really give us a dry slot issue, so that's good news.

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Little rock warning leaves open the possibility of some sleet contamination for northern arkansas. Not sure its going to be a big deal, but definitely something to watch as we get closer. 

SGF upgraded and also leaves open the possibility of some sleet in their southern most counties. Seems like the NWS is really buying the stronger warm nose. 

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Its wild to me that so many models are still kicking out roughly 1" of QPF and were only 36 hours out from onset. I really thought those would start to come down, but so far, QPF is really holding steady. 

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