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MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion


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Areas of southern and western OK are near 90 F this Christmas Day afternoon, with records easily shattered now in Oklahoma City & Tulsa.

While not very unexpected with all the abnormally strong ridging in place over the Plain states this Christmas week, at least parts of OK and KS are also on the way to experiencing the warmest Christmas on record this year.

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Lots of daytime high temp records have been broken altogether, and even some overnight lows as well in all four of this topic's states from just yesterday (26th), and on Christmas Day.

Most notable so far has been Fayetteville AR. Also setting a new all-time record high this year for the month of December.

IMG_9171.jpeg.b20b710c5ab805cb15f807f2940d23e6.jpeg

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For the first time in recorded history, Wichita has achieved 3 straight 70+ degree days in December. 

This pattern sucks. FWIW, the GFS and Euro both look pretty dry for the next 7-10 days. Ensembles may be picking up on something after that, but variability is extremely high. 

Looking at 30 days and counting without moisture (for Wichita and southern Kansas)...

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