Tropical Storm Gabrielle

[Torch Tiger]

26 minutes ago, MANDA said:

 

What garbage.  

does not specifically say "east coast USA".   East coast Bermuda?

[STORMANLI]

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I have a thing or two to say! First thing- this might take the cake as the most questionably named TS ever! Second thing- I still don’t see a defined center and they even mentioned it is marginally organized at best. I guess the assumption is it keeps organizing through the day but man that’s a questionable call with multiple circulations within a broad wave 

Totally agree. Hostile environment. So if the 5pm Scatterometer analysis does not find Tropical-Storm force winds, will it attain or tie a record for the shortest-lived named storm?

[MANDA]

10 minutes ago, STORMANLI said:

Totally agree. Hostile environment. So if the 5pm Scatterometer analysis does not find Tropical-Storm force winds, will it attain or tie a record for the shortest-lived named storm?

TPC would never pull that plug that quickly.  

[rclab]

32 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

does not specifically say "east coast USA".   East coast Bermuda?

Absolutely right with the Bermuda comment. Stay well, as always.

 

[Seminole]

53 minutes ago, MANDA said:

100%.  Friend sent it to me from Daily Mail.  Daily Mail but still !

Daily mail loves click bait. That is a whopper tale they are spinning for those clicks. 

 

[GaWx]

2 hours ago, GaWx said:

 I bet Bastardi will have a thing or two to say about this upgrade lol.

Followup:

 JB was surprisingly quiet. All he said was this: “Now, the red-hatched area has been designated Tropical Depression 7, posing a threat to Bermuda but not the U.S.”

 But then he immediately mentioned a possible unexpected “side-show Bob” to form off the SE US.

[MANDA]

25 minutes ago, rclab said:

Absolutely right with the Bermuda comment. Stay well, as always.

 

You realize the population of Bermuda is WELL below 100K never mind MILLIONS.

The article is pure clickbait.

[GaWx]

12Z summary of main ops

-Icon H 250 miles E/SE of Bermuda 9/22-3
-GFS another relatively weak run with a TS over Bermuda but takes 10 days (9/27)!
-CMC H 150 miles E/SE of Bermuda 9/22
-Euro H 200 miles E/SE of Bermuda 9/22
-JMA out to only 72 as a TD recurving
-UKMET: TS ~150 miles E of Bermuda 9/22:

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 20.0N 50.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 18.09.2025 24 20.0N 50.9W 1009 35
0000UTC 19.09.2025 36 20.8N 53.2W 1009 31
1200UTC 19.09.2025 48 21.3N 55.3W 1010 29
0000UTC 20.09.2025 60 22.4N 58.1W 1011 30
1200UTC 20.09.2025 72 23.6N 59.5W 1011 27
0000UTC 21.09.2025 84 25.1N 61.1W 1011 29
1200UTC 21.09.2025 96 26.9N 61.2W 1011 33
0000UTC 22.09.2025 108 29.3N 62.0W 1008 43
1200UTC 22.09.2025 120 31.2N 62.2W 1007 47
0000UTC 23.09.2025 132 33.5N 61.9W 1005 41
1200UTC 23.09.2025 144 36.5N 58.5W 1003 42
0000UTC 24.09.2025 156 39.5N 52.7W 994 43
1200UTC 24.09.2025 168 42.3N 44.3W 982 52

[Wannabehippie]

Definitely a mess, sheared apart by an ULL. 

blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/5026dd98-4087-4470-abf3-c589c2404393

 

Plus surrounded by dry sinking air.